Prediction history & accuracy
Every FootyGrounds prediction, right and wrong: past Top Picks editions, accuracy by competition, and a calibration table comparing predicted probabilities with real outcomes.
Selection accuracy
10000.0% (4/4)
Editions where all selections won
4 / 4
Editions with at least one loss
0 / 4
All match predictions
4865.8% of 559
Accuracy by competition
| Competition | Correct | Total | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A | 2 | 2 | 10000.0% |
| National League | 2 | 2 | 10000.0% |
Model calibration
If the model is well calibrated, outcomes predicted at around 70% should occur about 70% of the time.
| Predicted band | Average predicted | Actually occurred | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50–59% | 5410.0% | 5220.0% | 134 |
| 60–69% | 6310.0% | 7170.0% | 46 |
| 70–79% | 7250.0% | 2500.0% | 4 |
Past editions
This weekend's top picks · 11 Sept 2026
1 / 1 correct
- ✓ Como to win — Como v Parma (61%, result home)
This weekend's higher-confidence picks · 11 Sept 2026
1 / 1 correct
- ✓ Como to win — Como v Parma (61%, result home)
This weekend's top picks · 28 Aug 2026
1 / 1 correct
- ✓ Yeovil Town to win — Yeovil Town v Tamworth (57%, result home)
This weekend's higher-confidence picks · 28 Aug 2026
1 / 1 correct
- ✓ Yeovil Town to win — Yeovil Town v Tamworth (57%, result home)