Gil Vicente v Marítimo
18+Primeira Liga · Sat 19 Sept, 14:30
Data: excellent
- Gil Vicente win
- 50%
- Draw
- 23%
- Marítimo win
- 27%
FootyGrounds prediction
Gil Vicente to win
Model probability 50%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score54 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Gil Vicente strength rating 1618 v Marítimo 1605
- Gil Vicente home record this season: 2W 0D 1L
- Marítimo away form: 1W 0D 2L, 4 scored / 6 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Gil Vicente 0 v Marítimo -4
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 50% (Elo 49%, goals 50%, recent form 52%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model49%
- Goals model50%
- Recent-form model52%
Component disagreement: 3.8 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 50% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:04), now 50%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:02. Read the methodology.