Match predictor

• AS Roma strength rating 1676 v Udinese 1577
• AS Roma away record this season: 2W 2D 0L
• Udinese home form: 0W 1D 4L, 2 scored / 9 conceded
• Superior goal difference: AS Roma +15 v Udinese -9
• AS Roma unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Udinese played just 3 days ago
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 55% (Elo 44%, goals 61%, recent form 68%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 24 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Charlotte FC strength rating 1620 v Orlando City SC 1620
• Superior goal difference: Charlotte FC +10 v Orlando City SC -15
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 54% (Elo 46%, goals 64%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 18 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Bayern Munich strength rating 1675 v Borussia Dortmund 1655
• Bayern Munich home record this season: 3W 0D 0L
• Borussia Dortmund away form: 2W 1D 0L, 4 scored / 2 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Bayern Munich +19 v Borussia Dortmund +8
• Bayern Munich unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 51% (Elo 50%, goals 57%, recent form 43%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 14 percentage points on this outcome. Borussia Dortmund are unbeaten in their last 4 matches. Borussia Dortmund have conceded under a goal a game in this venue type.

• Tottenham Hotspur strength rating 1612 v Crystal Palace 1577
• Tottenham Hotspur home record this season: 1W 1D 2L
• Crystal Palace away form: 1W 1D 3L, 3 scored / 12 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Tottenham Hotspur -2 v Crystal Palace -10
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 53% (Elo 53%, goals 56%, recent form 49%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Real Betis strength rating 1635 v Málaga 1572
• Real Betis home record this season: 4W 0D 1L
• Málaga away form: 0W 2D 3L, 2 scored / 9 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Real Betis +2 v Málaga -12
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 63% (Elo 57%, goals 63%, recent form 73%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 16 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Heerenveen strength rating 1635 v NEC 1614
• Heerenveen home record this season: 2W 1D 2L
• NEC away form: 2W 1D 1L, 8 scored / 6 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Heerenveen +5 v NEC -1
• Heerenveen have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 51% (Elo 50%, goals 54%, recent form 47%)

Main uncertainty: NEC are unbeaten in their last 4 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• PSV Eindhoven strength rating 1670 v Willem II 1538
• PSV Eindhoven home record this season: 3W 2D 0L
• Willem II away form: 0W 1D 4L, 6 scored / 16 conceded
• Superior goal difference: PSV Eindhoven +15 v Willem II -22
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 76% (Elo 68%, goals 85%, recent form 80%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 17 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• New York City FC strength rating 1620 v CF Montréal 1620
• Superior goal difference: New York City FC +4 v CF Montréal -21
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 52% (Elo 46%, goals 61%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 14 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• FC Cincinnati strength rating 1620 v Philadelphia Union 1620
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 43% (Elo 46%, goals 39%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Columbus Crew strength rating 1620 v D.C. United 1620
• Superior goal difference: Columbus Crew -5 v D.C. United -12
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 48% (Elo 46%, goals 50%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• St. Louis City SC strength rating 1620 v San Diego FC 1620
• Superior goal difference: St. Louis City SC +16 v San Diego FC -3
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 52% (Elo 46%, goals 60%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 13 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• FC Dallas strength rating 1620 v Sporting Kansas City 1620
• Superior goal difference: FC Dallas +7 v Sporting Kansas City -33
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 41% (Elo 30%, goals 54%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 24 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Le Mans strength rating 1598 v Troyes 1574
• Le Mans away record this season: 0W 2D 2L
• Troyes home form: 0W 1D 3L, 3 scored / 11 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Le Mans -5 v Troyes -11
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 38% (Elo 33%, goals 40%, recent form 45%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 12 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• AC Milan strength rating 1646 v Inter Milan 1680
• AC Milan home record this season: 3W 0D 1L
• Inter Milan away form: 3W 1D 0L, 8 scored / 3 conceded
• AC Milan have won 3 of their last 5
• Inter Milan played just 3 days ago
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 38% (Elo 39%, goals 38%, recent form 34%)

Main uncertainty: Inter Milan are unbeaten in their last 4 matches. Inter Milan have conceded under a goal a game in this venue type. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Ajax strength rating 1681 v AZ Alkmaar 1653
• Ajax home record this season: 1W 3D 1L
• AZ Alkmaar away form: 3W 1D 1L, 11 scored / 7 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Ajax +16 v AZ Alkmaar +8
• Ajax unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 51% (Elo 51%, goals 55%, recent form 44%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 12 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• FC Barcelona strength rating 1713 v Alavés 1620
• FC Barcelona home record this season: 4W 0D 1L
• Alavés away form: 0W 2D 2L, 3 scored / 5 conceded
• Superior goal difference: FC Barcelona +29 v Alavés +3
• FC Barcelona have won 4 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 69% (Elo 62%, goals 73%, recent form 77%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 15 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Aston Villa strength rating 1615 v Fulham 1608
• Aston Villa home record this season: 1W 1D 2L
• Fulham away form: 1W 1D 2L, 2 scored / 3 conceded
• Aston Villa have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 46% (Elo 48%, goals 42%, recent form 47%)

Main uncertainty: Fulham are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. Fulham have conceded under a goal a game in this venue type. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Cambuur strength rating 1606 v Go Ahead Eagles 1620
• Cambuur home record this season: 1W 1D 3L
• Go Ahead Eagles away form: 0W 3D 2L, 9 scored / 15 conceded
• Cambuur unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 47% (Elo 44%, goals 47%, recent form 54%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 10 percentage points on this outcome. Go Ahead Eagles are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• FC Porto strength rating 1696 v Estoril 1569
• FC Porto home record this season: 4W 0D 0L
• Estoril away form: 0W 0D 4L, 2 scored / 7 conceded
• Superior goal difference: FC Porto +17 v Estoril -10
• FC Porto unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 75% (Elo 67%, goals 79%, recent form 87%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 20 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• LA Galaxy strength rating 1620 v Austin FC 1620
• Superior goal difference: LA Galaxy -11 v Austin FC -15
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 47% (Elo 46%, goals 48%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• San Jose Earthquakes strength rating 1620 v Real Salt Lake 1620
• Superior goal difference: San Jose Earthquakes +10 v Real Salt Lake -5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 50% (Elo 46%, goals 56%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Colorado Rapids strength rating 1620 v Chicago Fire FC 1620
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 43% (Elo 46%, goals 39%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• PEC Zwolle strength rating 1580 v ADO Den Haag 1578
• PEC Zwolle home record this season: 1W 0D 4L
• ADO Den Haag away form: 0W 2D 3L, 5 scored / 11 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 46% (Elo 46%, goals 45%, recent form 48%)

Main uncertainty: ADO Den Haag are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Como strength rating 1664 v Venezia 1561
• Como home record this season: 2W 1D 0L
• Venezia away form: 0W 0D 4L, 3 scored / 9 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Como +9 v Venezia -13
• Como have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 70% (Elo 64%, goals 73%, recent form 79%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 16 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Celtic strength rating 1689 v Falkirk 1621
• Celtic away record this season: 5W 0D 0L
• Falkirk home form: 2W 0D 3L, 7 scored / 7 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Celtic +19 v Falkirk +1
• Celtic have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 43% (Elo 38%, goals 50%, recent form 42%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 12 percentage points on this outcome. Falkirk are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Sevilla FC strength rating 1625 v Getafe CF 1592
• Sevilla FC away record this season: 2W 2D 1L
• Getafe CF home form: 2W 3D 0L, 5 scored / 3 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Sevilla FC 0 v Getafe CF -10
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 37% (Elo 33%, goals 43%, recent form 36%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 10 percentage points on this outcome. Getafe CF have conceded under a goal a game in this venue type. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• FC Twente strength rating 1656 v Excelsior 1605
• FC Twente away record this season: 2W 2D 1L
• Excelsior home form: 1W 0D 3L, 5 scored / 10 conceded
• Superior goal difference: FC Twente +9 v Excelsior -3
• FC Twente have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 42% (Elo 35%, goals 44%, recent form 58%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 23 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Telstar strength rating 1581 v FC Utrecht 1598
• Telstar home record this season: 0W 2D 3L
• FC Utrecht away form: 2W 1D 2L, 8 scored / 12 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Telstar -9 v FC Utrecht -10
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 41% (Elo 43%, goals 48%, recent form 24%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 23 percentage points on this outcome. FC Utrecht are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Frosinone strength rating 1647 v Torino 1618
• Frosinone home record this season: 4W 0D 1L
• Torino away form: 2W 1D 1L, 7 scored / 4 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Frosinone +8 v Torino 0
• Frosinone have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 53% (Elo 52%, goals 58%, recent form 46%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 12 percentage points on this outcome. Torino are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Lazio strength rating 1687 v Cagliari 1607
• Lazio home record this season: 3W 1D 0L
• Cagliari away form: 3W 0D 2L, 6 scored / 9 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Lazio +15 v Cagliari -5
• Lazio unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 63% (Elo 60%, goals 70%, recent form 56%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 14 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Sheffield Wednesday strength rating 1519 v Blackpool 1476
• Sheffield Wednesday home record this season: 2W 3D 1L
• Blackpool away form: 1W 0D 4L, 4 scored / 9 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Sheffield Wednesday +8 v Blackpool -4
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 58% (Elo 54%, goals 61%, recent form 60%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• RC Strasbourg strength rating 1600 v Auxerre 1604
• RC Strasbourg home record this season: 1W 1D 1L
• Auxerre away form: 1W 0D 3L, 7 scored / 13 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 44% (Elo 45%, goals 48%, recent form 36%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 13 percentage points on this outcome. Auxerre are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Union Berlin strength rating 1590 v 1. FC Köln 1608
• Union Berlin home record this season: 1W 2D 1L
• 1. FC Köln away form: 0W 0D 3L, 2 scored / 7 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 43% (Elo 43%, goals 34%, recent form 61%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 27 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Real Madrid strength rating 1674 v Racing de Santander 1593
• Real Madrid away record this season: 3W 0D 2L
• Racing de Santander home form: 3W 2D 0L, 11 scored / 8 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Real Madrid +15 v Racing de Santander -11
• Real Madrid have won 4 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 48% (Elo 40%, goals 64%, recent form 39%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 25 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Arouca strength rating 1641 v Nacional 1582
• Arouca home record this season: 3W 0D 1L
• Nacional away form: 0W 1D 3L, 4 scored / 8 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Arouca +5 v Nacional -8
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 62% (Elo 57%, goals 62%, recent form 75%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 18 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Groningen strength rating 1631 v Sparta Rotterdam 1593
• Groningen home record this season: 2W 1D 2L
• Sparta Rotterdam away form: 1W 1D 2L, 8 scored / 10 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Groningen +3 v Sparta Rotterdam -7
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 56% (Elo 53%, goals 61%, recent form 54%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Paris FC strength rating 1636 v AS Monaco 1641
• Paris FC home record this season: 3W 1D 0L
• AS Monaco away form: 2W 1D 1L, 4 scored / 3 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 45% (Elo 45%, goals 43%, recent form 47%)

Main uncertainty: AS Monaco are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. AS Monaco have conceded under a goal a game in this venue type. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Olympique Lyonnais strength rating 1641 v Angers 1595
• Olympique Lyonnais home record this season: 3W 1D 0L
• Angers away form: 1W 1D 1L, 4 scored / 6 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Olympique Lyonnais +6 v Angers -6
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 58% (Elo 55%, goals 62%, recent form 58%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Liverpool strength rating 1650 v Arsenal 1665
• Liverpool home record this season: 2W 2D 1L
• Arsenal away form: 3W 0D 1L, 4 scored / 3 conceded
• Liverpool have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 39% (Elo 43%, goals 35%, recent form 34%)

Main uncertainty: Arsenal are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. Arsenal have conceded under a goal a game in this venue type. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Eintracht Frankfurt strength rating 1605 v Hamburger SV 1596
• Eintracht Frankfurt home record this season: 1W 1D 1L
• Hamburger SV away form: 1W 0D 3L, 3 scored / 10 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Eintracht Frankfurt -7 v Hamburger SV -10
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 49% (Elo 48%, goals 53%, recent form 44%)

Main uncertainty: Hamburger SV are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Lecce strength rating 1591 v Genoa 1599
• Lecce home record this season: 1W 0D 3L
• Genoa away form: 0W 0D 3L, 1 scored / 5 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 43% (Elo 45%, goals 41%, recent form 43%)

Main uncertainty: Genoa are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Elche strength rating 1610 v Valencia CF 1579
• Elche home record this season: 0W 1D 3L
• Valencia CF away form: 1W 1D 2L, 4 scored / 6 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Elche -3 v Valencia CF -10
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 52% (Elo 52%, goals 55%, recent form 44%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 11 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Santa Clara strength rating 1649 v Marítimo 1586
• Santa Clara away record this season: 3W 1D 0L
• Marítimo home form: 1W 1D 2L, 4 scored / 7 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Santa Clara +7 v Marítimo -10
• Santa Clara have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 47% (Elo 37%, goals 53%, recent form 60%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 23 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Académico de Viseu strength rating 1636 v Rio Ave 1574
• Académico de Viseu home record this season: 2W 0D 2L
• Rio Ave away form: 1W 0D 3L, 2 scored / 6 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Académico de Viseu +2 v Rio Ave -13
• Académico de Viseu unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 62% (Elo 57%, goals 66%, recent form 66%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Olympique de Marseille strength rating 1634 v Toulouse FC 1622
• Olympique de Marseille home record this season: 2W 0D 2L
• Toulouse FC away form: 1W 3D 0L, 9 scored / 6 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Olympique de Marseille +5 v Toulouse FC +1
• Olympique de Marseille have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 48% (Elo 49%, goals 52%, recent form 41%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 11 percentage points on this outcome. Toulouse FC are unbeaten in their last 4 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Juventus strength rating 1625 v Napoli 1642
• Juventus home record this season: 2W 1D 1L
• Napoli away form: 2W 1D 2L, 9 scored / 6 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 40% (Elo 43%, goals 39%, recent form 37%)

Main uncertainty: Napoli are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Athletic Club strength rating 1627 v Real Sociedad 1634
• Athletic Club home record this season: 2W 2D 1L
• Real Sociedad away form: 3W 0D 2L, 12 scored / 11 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Athletic Club +3 v Real Sociedad +1
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 44% (Elo 45%, goals 49%, recent form 33%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 16 percentage points on this outcome. Real Sociedad are unbeaten in their last 4 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• SC Braga strength rating 1608 v Famalicão 1625
• SC Braga home record this season: 2W 0D 2L
• Famalicão away form: 2W 2D 1L, 11 scored / 4 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 39% (Elo 43%, goals 37%, recent form 34%)

Main uncertainty: Famalicão are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. Famalicão have conceded under a goal a game in this venue type. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Nashville SC strength rating 1620 v New York Red Bulls 1620
• Superior goal difference: Nashville SC +37 v New York Red Bulls -14
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 59% (Elo 46%, goals 76%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 30 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Atlanta United FC strength rating 1620 v Toronto FC 1620
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 45% (Elo 46%, goals 43%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Los Angeles FC strength rating 1608 v Minnesota United FC 1620
• Superior goal difference: Los Angeles FC +13 v Minnesota United FC -9
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 50% (Elo 44%, goals 59%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 15 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Vancouver Whitecaps FC strength rating 1620 v Seattle Sounders FC 1620
• Superior goal difference: Vancouver Whitecaps FC +31 v Seattle Sounders FC +3
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 52% (Elo 46%, goals 60%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 14 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• New England Revolution strength rating 1620 v Inter Miami CF 1620
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 45% (Elo 46%, goals 43%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Portland Timbers strength rating 1620 v Houston Dynamo FC 1620
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 45% (Elo 46%, goals 43%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Sassuolo strength rating 1591 v Fiorentina 1579
• Sassuolo home record this season: 2W 1D 1L
• Fiorentina away form: 1W 0D 3L, 6 scored / 10 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Sassuolo -8 v Fiorentina -10
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 50% (Elo 48%, goals 52%, recent form 52%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Lorient strength rating 1626 v Brest 1619
• Lorient home record this season: 2W 1D 1L
• Brest away form: 1W 2D 1L, 6 scored / 6 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 47% (Elo 48%, goals 43%, recent form 52%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Atalanta strength rating 1613 v Parma 1580
• Atalanta home record this season: 3W 1D 1L
• Parma away form: 0W 0D 4L, 2 scored / 9 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Atalanta -1 v Parma -10
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 58% (Elo 52%, goals 59%, recent form 69%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 17 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Deportivo de A Coruña strength rating 1618 v CA Osasuna 1592
• Deportivo de A Coruña home record this season: 1W 3D 1L
• CA Osasuna away form: 1W 0D 4L, 6 scored / 17 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Deportivo de A Coruña 0 v CA Osasuna -10
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 53% (Elo 51%, goals 57%, recent form 50%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Newcastle United strength rating 1613 v Everton 1614
• Newcastle United home record this season: 1W 2D 1L
• Everton away form: 0W 4D 1L, 4 scored / 6 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 46% (Elo 46%, goals 44%, recent form 50%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Benfica strength rating 1685 v Alverca 1621
• Benfica home record this season: 3W 1D 0L
• Alverca away form: 2W 0D 2L, 8 scored / 7 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Benfica +18 v Alverca 0
• Benfica have won 4 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 61% (Elo 58%, goals 70%, recent form 52%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 18 percentage points on this outcome. Alverca are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Gil Vicente strength rating 1626 v Vitória de Guimarães 1611
• Gil Vicente home record this season: 2W 1D 2L
• Vitória de Guimarães away form: 0W 0D 4L, 3 scored / 8 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Gil Vicente +1 v Vitória de Guimarães 0
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 50% (Elo 49%, goals 42%, recent form 65%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 23 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Watford strength rating 1517 v Lincoln City 1530
• Watford home record this season: 3W 1D 2L
• Lincoln City away form: 3W 1D 2L, 6 scored / 7 conceded
• Lincoln City played just 3 days ago
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 41% (Elo 44%, goals 42%, recent form 35%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Queens Park Rangers strength rating 1588 v Burnley 1528
• Queens Park Rangers home record this season: 3W 2D 1L
• Burnley away form: 1W 1D 4L, 9 scored / 15 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Queens Park Rangers +7 v Burnley -8
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 60% (Elo 57%, goals 62%, recent form 60%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Sheffield United strength rating 1566 v Preston North End 1492
• Sheffield United away record this season: 2W 2D 2L
• Preston North End home form: 1W 1D 4L, 5 scored / 10 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Sheffield United +2 v Preston North End -17
• Sheffield United have won 3 of their last 5
• Preston North End played just 3 days ago
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 45% (Elo 39%, goals 50%, recent form 51%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 12 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Charlton Athletic strength rating 1534 v Bolton Wanderers 1537
• Charlton Athletic home record this season: 2W 3D 1L
• Bolton Wanderers away form: 2W 2D 2L, 9 scored / 11 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 41% (Elo 46%, goals 42%, recent form 31%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 14 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Norwich City strength rating 1551 v Derby County 1514
• Norwich City away record this season: 2W 0D 4L
• Derby County home form: 0W 2D 4L, 4 scored / 10 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Norwich City -1 v Derby County -14
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 41% (Elo 34%, goals 46%, recent form 48%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 14 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Portsmouth strength rating 1565 v Swansea City 1583
• Portsmouth home record this season: 3W 1D 2L
• Swansea City away form: 4W 0D 2L, 9 scored / 10 conceded
• Portsmouth have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 41% (Elo 43%, goals 39%, recent form 40%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Blackburn Rovers strength rating 1569 v Stoke City 1579
• Blackburn Rovers home record this season: 4W 0D 2L
• Stoke City away form: 3W 1D 2L, 8 scored / 10 conceded
• Blackburn Rovers have won 3 of their last 5
• Stoke City played just 3 days ago
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 43% (Elo 44%, goals 43%, recent form 38%)

Main uncertainty: Stoke City are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Birmingham City strength rating 1599 v Millwall 1552
• Birmingham City home record this season: 2W 4D 0L
• Millwall away form: 2W 1D 3L, 8 scored / 12 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Birmingham City +10 v Millwall +2
• Birmingham City have won 4 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 56% (Elo 55%, goals 56%, recent form 61%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• West Bromwich Albion strength rating 1578 v Southampton 1606
• West Bromwich Albion home record this season: 3W 2D 1L
• Southampton away form: 2W 2D 2L, 8 scored / 8 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 37% (Elo 41%, goals 35%, recent form 34%)

Main uncertainty: Southampton are unbeaten in their last 4 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Middlesbrough strength rating 1608 v Wrexham 1548
• Middlesbrough away record this season: 3W 2D 1L
• Wrexham home form: 2W 2D 2L, 10 scored / 8 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Middlesbrough +11 v Wrexham -4
• Middlesbrough unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 41% (Elo 36%, goals 46%, recent form 44%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 10 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• West Ham United strength rating 1610 v Cardiff City 1562
• West Ham United away record this season: 3W 3D 0L
• Cardiff City home form: 3W 3D 0L, 13 scored / 6 conceded
• Superior goal difference: West Ham United +16 v Cardiff City 0
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 39% (Elo 34%, goals 47%, recent form 34%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 13 percentage points on this outcome. Cardiff City are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Bristol City strength rating 1546 v Wolverhampton Wanderers 1577
• Bristol City home record this season: 2W 0D 4L
• Wolverhampton Wanderers away form: 3W 1D 2L, 10 scored / 9 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 37% (Elo 40%, goals 34%, recent form 33%)

Main uncertainty: Wolverhampton Wanderers are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• New York City FC strength rating 1620 v Los Angeles FC 1608
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 44% (Elo 48%, goals 38%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 10 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• PEC Zwolle strength rating 1580 v Willem II 1538
• PEC Zwolle away record this season: 1W 2D 2L
• Willem II home form: 0W 1D 4L, 4 scored / 16 conceded
• Superior goal difference: PEC Zwolle -12 v Willem II -22
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 39% (Elo 34%, goals 40%, recent form 50%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 16 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Hamburger SV strength rating 1596 v Borussia Mönchengladbach 1581
• Hamburger SV home record this season: 2W 0D 1L
• Borussia Mönchengladbach away form: 1W 0D 3L, 4 scored / 12 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Hamburger SV -10 v Borussia Mönchengladbach -11
• Hamburger SV have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 51% (Elo 49%, goals 46%, recent form 65%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 19 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Venezia strength rating 1561 v Udinese 1577
• Venezia home record this season: 1W 0D 4L
• Udinese away form: 1W 1D 2L, 7 scored / 9 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 42% (Elo 43%, goals 39%, recent form 47%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Toulouse FC strength rating 1622 v RC Strasbourg 1600
• Toulouse FC home record this season: 1W 1D 2L
• RC Strasbourg away form: 1W 0D 4L, 8 scored / 13 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Toulouse FC +1 v RC Strasbourg -6
• Toulouse FC unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 54% (Elo 50%, goals 57%, recent form 59%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Bolton Wanderers strength rating 1537 v Derby County 1514
• Bolton Wanderers away record this season: 2W 2D 2L
• Derby County home form: 0W 2D 4L, 4 scored / 10 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Bolton Wanderers -7 v Derby County -14
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 40% (Elo 32%, goals 39%, recent form 57%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 24 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Everton strength rating 1614 v Coventry City 1585
• Everton home record this season: 2W 1D 1L
• Coventry City away form: 1W 0D 3L, 2 scored / 7 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Everton -1 v Coventry City -8
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 52% (Elo 52%, goals 52%, recent form 53%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Sevilla FC strength rating 1625 v Alavés 1620
• Sevilla FC home record this season: 3W 0D 2L
• Alavés away form: 0W 2D 2L, 3 scored / 5 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 50% (Elo 47%, goals 41%, recent form 72%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 30 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Famalicão strength rating 1625 v Arouca 1641
• Famalicão home record this season: 0W 2D 2L
• Arouca away form: 2W 2D 1L, 4 scored / 4 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 40% (Elo 43%, goals 40%, recent form 32%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 11 percentage points on this outcome. Arouca are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. Arouca have conceded under a goal a game in this venue type.

• Portsmouth strength rating 1565 v Stoke City 1579
• Portsmouth home record this season: 3W 1D 2L
• Stoke City away form: 3W 1D 2L, 8 scored / 10 conceded
• Portsmouth have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 41% (Elo 43%, goals 41%, recent form 37%)

Main uncertainty: Stoke City are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Bristol City strength rating 1546 v Norwich City 1551
• Bristol City home record this season: 2W 0D 4L
• Norwich City away form: 2W 0D 4L, 10 scored / 12 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 43% (Elo 45%, goals 43%, recent form 41%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Leeds United strength rating 1632 v Tottenham Hotspur 1612
• Leeds United home record this season: 1W 3D 0L
• Tottenham Hotspur away form: 1W 2D 1L, 3 scored / 4 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Leeds United +3 v Tottenham Hotspur -2
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 47% (Elo 50%, goals 48%, recent form 40%)

Main uncertainty: Tottenham Hotspur are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Wrexham strength rating 1548 v Wolverhampton Wanderers 1577
• Wrexham home record this season: 2W 2D 2L
• Wolverhampton Wanderers away form: 3W 1D 2L, 10 scored / 9 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 37% (Elo 40%, goals 34%, recent form 36%)

Main uncertainty: Wolverhampton Wanderers are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Málaga strength rating 1572 v Racing de Santander 1593
• Málaga home record this season: 0W 3D 2L
• Racing de Santander away form: 0W 0D 5L, 4 scored / 18 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 42% (Elo 42%, goals 41%, recent form 43%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Torino strength rating 1618 v Lecce 1591
• Torino home record this season: 2W 0D 3L
• Lecce away form: 2W 0D 3L, 6 scored / 9 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Torino 0 v Lecce -9
• Torino have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 53% (Elo 51%, goals 58%, recent form 49%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Frosinone strength rating 1647 v Cagliari 1607
• Frosinone away record this season: 1W 2D 1L
• Cagliari home form: 1W 1D 2L, 2 scored / 4 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Frosinone +8 v Cagliari -5
• Frosinone have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 39% (Elo 34%, goals 47%, recent form 38%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 13 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Borussia Dortmund strength rating 1655 v Elversberg 1623
• Borussia Dortmund home record this season: 3W 1D 0L
• Elversberg away form: 1W 1D 2L, 4 scored / 8 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Borussia Dortmund +8 v Elversberg 0
• Borussia Dortmund unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 56% (Elo 52%, goals 60%, recent form 61%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• RB Leipzig strength rating 1638 v FC Augsburg 1633
• RB Leipzig home record this season: 4W 0D 0L
• FC Augsburg away form: 1W 0D 2L, 9 scored / 8 conceded
• Superior goal difference: RB Leipzig +9 v FC Augsburg +4
• RB Leipzig have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 53% (Elo 47%, goals 55%, recent form 60%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 13 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Paderborn strength rating 1606 v Eintracht Frankfurt 1605
• Paderborn home record this season: 2W 0D 2L
• Eintracht Frankfurt away form: 1W 1D 2L, 6 scored / 11 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Paderborn -3 v Eintracht Frankfurt -7
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 47% (Elo 46%, goals 49%, recent form 47%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Bayern Munich strength rating 1675 v Mainz 05 1615
• Bayern Munich away record this season: 2W 2D 0L
• Mainz 05 home form: 0W 1D 3L, 6 scored / 10 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Bayern Munich +19 v Mainz 05 0
• Bayern Munich unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 48% (Elo 36%, goals 58%, recent form 57%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 22 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• St Johnstone strength rating 1610 v Dundee 1634
• St Johnstone home record this season: 2W 3D 1L
• Dundee away form: 2W 0D 3L, 6 scored / 6 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 37% (Elo 41%, goals 34%, recent form 35%)

Main uncertainty: Dundee are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Dundee United strength rating 1628 v Motherwell 1584
• Dundee United home record this season: 2W 2D 1L
• Motherwell away form: 1W 2D 3L, 10 scored / 12 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Dundee United 0 v Motherwell -7
• Dundee United unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 59% (Elo 54%, goals 54%, recent form 77%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 23 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Birmingham City strength rating 1599 v Swansea City 1583
• Birmingham City home record this season: 2W 4D 0L
• Swansea City away form: 4W 0D 2L, 9 scored / 10 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Birmingham City +10 v Swansea City +4
• Birmingham City have won 4 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 48% (Elo 49%, goals 50%, recent form 41%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• West Ham United strength rating 1610 v Blackburn Rovers 1569
• West Ham United away record this season: 3W 3D 0L
• Blackburn Rovers home form: 4W 0D 2L, 11 scored / 7 conceded
• Superior goal difference: West Ham United +16 v Blackburn Rovers +2
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 37% (Elo 34%, goals 44%, recent form 33%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 11 percentage points on this outcome. Blackburn Rovers are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Cardiff City strength rating 1562 v Burnley 1528
• Cardiff City home record this season: 3W 3D 0L
• Burnley away form: 1W 1D 4L, 9 scored / 15 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Cardiff City 0 v Burnley -8
• Cardiff City have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 55% (Elo 53%, goals 55%, recent form 62%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Arsenal strength rating 1665 v Hull City 1624
• Arsenal home record this season: 5W 0D 0L
• Hull City away form: 1W 1D 2L, 4 scored / 5 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Arsenal +8 v Hull City +1
• Arsenal have won 4 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 56% (Elo 54%, goals 52%, recent form 69%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 17 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Fulham strength rating 1608 v Newcastle United 1613
• Fulham home record this season: 1W 1D 2L
• Newcastle United away form: 2W 0D 3L, 7 scored / 10 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 44% (Elo 45%, goals 44%, recent form 42%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• West Bromwich Albion strength rating 1578 v Millwall 1552
• West Bromwich Albion home record this season: 3W 2D 1L
• Millwall away form: 2W 1D 3L, 8 scored / 12 conceded
• Superior goal difference: West Bromwich Albion +4 v Millwall +2
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 51% (Elo 51%, goals 48%, recent form 54%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Sheffield United strength rating 1566 v Charlton Athletic 1534
• Sheffield United away record this season: 2W 2D 2L
• Charlton Athletic home form: 2W 3D 1L, 5 scored / 5 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Sheffield United +2 v Charlton Athletic -8
• Sheffield United have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 38% (Elo 33%, goals 40%, recent form 44%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 11 percentage points on this outcome. Charlton Athletic have conceded under a goal a game in this venue type. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Southampton strength rating 1606 v Preston North End 1492
• Southampton away record this season: 2W 2D 2L
• Preston North End home form: 1W 1D 4L, 5 scored / 10 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Southampton +13 v Preston North End -17
• Southampton have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 55% (Elo 47%, goals 63%, recent form 57%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 16 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Queens Park Rangers strength rating 1588 v Lincoln City 1530
• Queens Park Rangers home record this season: 3W 2D 1L
• Lincoln City away form: 3W 1D 2L, 6 scored / 7 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Queens Park Rangers +7 v Lincoln City -9
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 57% (Elo 57%, goals 63%, recent form 49%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 13 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Middlesbrough strength rating 1608 v Watford 1517
• Middlesbrough away record this season: 3W 2D 1L
• Watford home form: 3W 1D 2L, 8 scored / 9 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Middlesbrough +11 v Watford -11
• Middlesbrough unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 48% (Elo 42%, goals 55%, recent form 51%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 12 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• RCD Espanyol strength rating 1607 v Deportivo de A Coruña 1618
• RCD Espanyol home record this season: 1W 1D 3L
• Deportivo de A Coruña away form: 1W 2D 2L, 7 scored / 8 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 44% (Elo 44%, goals 43%, recent form 45%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Fortuna Sittard strength rating 1626 v Telstar 1581
• Fortuna Sittard home record this season: 2W 1D 2L
• Telstar away form: 1W 1D 3L, 4 scored / 6 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Fortuna Sittard 0 v Telstar -9
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 58% (Elo 54%, goals 57%, recent form 67%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 12 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Académico de Viseu strength rating 1636 v Nacional 1582
• Académico de Viseu away record this season: 3W 2D 0L
• Nacional home form: 2W 0D 3L, 6 scored / 10 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Académico de Viseu +2 v Nacional -8
• Académico de Viseu unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 42% (Elo 35%, goals 43%, recent form 56%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 21 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Auxerre strength rating 1604 v Paris FC 1636
• Auxerre home record this season: 2W 1D 1L
• Paris FC away form: 1W 1D 2L, 4 scored / 5 conceded
• Auxerre have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 39% (Elo 40%, goals 33%, recent form 47%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 14 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Bologna strength rating 1624 v Parma 1580
• Bologna away record this season: 3W 0D 2L
• Parma home form: 1W 2D 2L, 3 scored / 6 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Bologna 0 v Parma -10
• Bologna have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 40% (Elo 34%, goals 42%, recent form 47%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 13 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Manchester City strength rating 1668 v Nottingham Forest 1597
• Manchester City away record this season: 3W 0D 1L
• Nottingham Forest home form: 0W 1D 3L, 0 scored / 3 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Manchester City +10 v Nottingham Forest -4
• Manchester City have won 4 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 46% (Elo 38%, goals 48%, recent form 62%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 23 percentage points on this outcome. Nottingham Forest have conceded under a goal a game in this venue type. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• VfB Stuttgart strength rating 1605 v Werder Bremen 1631
• VfB Stuttgart home record this season: 1W 0D 2L
• Werder Bremen away form: 1W 2D 1L, 7 scored / 9 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 39% (Elo 41%, goals 41%, recent form 32%)

Main uncertainty: Werder Bremen are unbeaten in their last 4 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Athletic Club strength rating 1627 v CA Osasuna 1592
• Athletic Club away record this season: 1W 1D 2L
• CA Osasuna home form: 2W 2D 1L, 4 scored / 3 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Athletic Club +3 v CA Osasuna -10
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 38% (Elo 33%, goals 46%, recent form 34%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 12 percentage points on this outcome. CA Osasuna have conceded under a goal a game in this venue type. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Aberdeen strength rating 1607 v Hibernian 1586
• Aberdeen home record this season: 2W 1D 3L
• Hibernian away form: 2W 1D 2L, 6 scored / 6 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Aberdeen -2 v Hibernian -6
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 49% (Elo 50%, goals 48%, recent form 49%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• ADO Den Haag strength rating 1578 v Sparta Rotterdam 1593
• ADO Den Haag home record this season: 1W 1D 3L
• Sparta Rotterdam away form: 1W 1D 2L, 8 scored / 10 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 43% (Elo 43%, goals 44%, recent form 42%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Alverca strength rating 1621 v Casa Pia 1573
• Alverca home record this season: 1W 2D 2L
• Casa Pia away form: 2W 1D 2L, 4 scored / 4 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Alverca 0 v Casa Pia -14
• Alverca have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 56% (Elo 55%, goals 64%, recent form 44%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 20 percentage points on this outcome. Casa Pia have conceded under a goal a game in this venue type. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• AS Roma strength rating 1676 v Sassuolo 1591
• AS Roma home record this season: 4W 1D 0L
• Sassuolo away form: 0W 1D 4L, 6 scored / 12 conceded
• Superior goal difference: AS Roma +15 v Sassuolo -8
• AS Roma unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 69% (Elo 61%, goals 77%, recent form 74%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 16 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Paris Saint-Germain strength rating 1668 v Troyes 1574
• Paris Saint-Germain home record this season: 2W 0D 1L
• Troyes away form: 1W 1D 2L, 2 scored / 5 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Paris Saint-Germain +11 v Troyes -11
• Paris Saint-Germain unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 69% (Elo 62%, goals 75%, recent form 74%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 13 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Rangers strength rating 1662 v St Mirren 1602
• Rangers away record this season: 3W 3D 0L
• St Mirren home form: 2W 2D 2L, 8 scored / 10 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Rangers +10 v St Mirren -7
• Rangers unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 45% (Elo 36%, goals 50%, recent form 55%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 19 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Excelsior strength rating 1605 v Go Ahead Eagles 1620
• Excelsior home record this season: 1W 0D 3L
• Go Ahead Eagles away form: 0W 3D 2L, 9 scored / 15 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 42% (Elo 43%, goals 46%, recent form 34%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 11 percentage points on this outcome. Go Ahead Eagles are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.