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West Bromwich Albion v Millwall

18+

EFL Championship · Sat 7 Nov, 15:00

Data: excellent
West Bromwich Albion win
51%
Draw
22%
Millwall win
28%

FootyGrounds prediction

West Bromwich Albion to win

Model probability 51%

Predicted scoreline

2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score54 / 100 · Low–Moderate

Why the model predicts this

  • West Bromwich Albion strength rating 1578 v Millwall 1552
  • West Bromwich Albion home record this season: 3W 2D 1L
  • Millwall away form: 2W 1D 3L, 8 scored / 12 conceded
  • Superior goal difference: West Bromwich Albion +4 v Millwall +2
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 51% (Elo 51%, goals 48%, recent form 54%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Model agreement

Model components

  • Elo strength model51%
  • Goals model48%
  • Recent-form model54%

Component disagreement: 5.9 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.

How this prediction has changed

Previously 51% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:05), now 51%.

Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:12. Read the methodology.