Atlanta United FC v Toronto FC
18+Major League Soccer · Sun 1 Nov, 21:30
Data: good
- Atlanta United FC win
- 45%
- Draw
- 24%
- Toronto FC win
- 32%
FootyGrounds prediction
Atlanta United FC to win
Model probability 45%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score42 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Atlanta United FC strength rating 1620 v Toronto FC 1620
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 45% (Elo 46%, goals 43%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model46%
- Goals model43%
Component disagreement: 3.6 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 45% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:04), now 45%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:11. Read the methodology.