New York City FC v Los Angeles FC
18+Major League Soccer · Thu 5 Nov, 00:30
Data: good
- New York City FC win
- 44%
- Draw
- 24%
- Los Angeles FC win
- 32%
FootyGrounds prediction
New York City FC to win
Model probability 44%
Predicted scoreline
1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score35 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- New York City FC strength rating 1620 v Los Angeles FC 1608
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 44% (Elo 48%, goals 38%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 10 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model48%
- Goals model38%
Component disagreement: 10.4 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 44% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:04), now 44%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:11. Read the methodology.