Groningen v Sparta Rotterdam
18+Eredivisie · Sun 1 Nov, 15:45
Data: excellent
- Groningen win
- 56%
- Draw
- 19%
- Sparta Rotterdam win
- 25%
FootyGrounds prediction
Groningen to win
Model probability 56%
Predicted scoreline
3–2 (range 2–1 to 4–3)
FootyGrounds confidence score57 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Groningen strength rating 1631 v Sparta Rotterdam 1593
- Groningen home record this season: 2W 1D 2L
- Sparta Rotterdam away form: 1W 1D 2L, 8 scored / 10 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Groningen +3 v Sparta Rotterdam -7
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 56% (Elo 53%, goals 61%, recent form 54%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model53%
- Goals model61%
- Recent-form model54%
Component disagreement: 8.2 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 56% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:03), now 56%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:09. Read the methodology.