Charlton Athletic v Sheffield United
18+EFL Championship · Sat 7 Nov, 15:00
Data: excellent
- Charlton Athletic win
- 35%
- Draw
- 27%
- Sheffield United win
- 38%
FootyGrounds prediction
Sheffield United to win
Model probability 38%
Predicted scoreline
1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score37 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Sheffield United strength rating 1566 v Charlton Athletic 1534
- Sheffield United away record this season: 2W 2D 2L
- Charlton Athletic home form: 2W 3D 1L, 5 scored / 5 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Sheffield United +2 v Charlton Athletic -8
- Sheffield United have won 3 of their last 5
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 38% (Elo 33%, goals 40%, recent form 44%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 11 percentage points on this outcome. Charlton Athletic have conceded under a goal a game in this venue type. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model33%
- Goals model40%
- Recent-form model44%
Component disagreement: 11.1 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 38% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:05), now 38%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:12. Read the methodology.