Match predictor

• Wolverhampton Wanderers strength rating 1580 v Portsmouth 1555
• Superior goal difference: Wolverhampton Wanderers +5 v Portsmouth -1
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 55% (Elo 51%, goals 60%, recent form 56%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Bristol City strength rating 1555 v Watford 1550
• Bristol City home record this season: 1W 0D 2L
• Watford away form: 0W 1D 2L, 1 scored / 4 conceded
• Bristol City have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 49% (Elo 47%, goals 45%, recent form 61%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 16 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• West Ham United strength rating 1592 v Millwall 1557
• West Ham United away record this season: 1W 2D 0L
• Millwall home form: 2W 0D 1L, 7 scored / 3 conceded
• Superior goal difference: West Ham United +11 v Millwall 0
• West Ham United unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 39% (Elo 33%, goals 47%, recent form 36%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 14 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Cardiff City strength rating 1541 v Charlton Athletic 1563
• Cardiff City home record this season: 0W 3D 0L
• Charlton Athletic away form: 1W 1D 1L, 3 scored / 6 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 39% (Elo 42%, goals 39%, recent form 31%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 11 percentage points on this outcome. Charlton Athletic are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Stoke City strength rating 1562 v Sheffield United 1554
• Stoke City home record this season: 2W 0D 1L
• Sheffield United away form: 1W 2D 0L, 4 scored / 3 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Stoke City 0 v Sheffield United -1
• Stoke City have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 47% (Elo 48%, goals 47%, recent form 46%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Burnley strength rating 1528 v Derby County 1529
• Burnley home record this season: 0W 2D 1L
• Derby County away form: 1W 0D 2L, 3 scored / 5 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 44% (Elo 46%, goals 46%, recent form 35%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 11 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Southampton strength rating 1594 v Wrexham 1554
• Southampton away record this season: 0W 2D 1L
• Wrexham home form: 0W 2D 1L, 3 scored / 4 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Southampton +10 v Wrexham -4
• Southampton unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 42% (Elo 34%, goals 51%, recent form 44%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 17 percentage points on this outcome. Wrexham are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Birmingham City strength rating 1568 v Middlesbrough 1581
• Birmingham City home record this season: 0W 3D 0L
• Middlesbrough away form: 1W 1D 1L, 3 scored / 3 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 41% (Elo 44%, goals 42%, recent form 35%)

Main uncertainty: Middlesbrough are unbeaten in their last 4 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Queens Park Rangers strength rating 1576 v Preston North End 1523
• Queens Park Rangers home record this season: 1W 1D 1L
• Preston North End away form: 0W 0D 3L, 2 scored / 5 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Queens Park Rangers +3 v Preston North End -7
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 60% (Elo 56%, goals 58%, recent form 73%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 17 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Lincoln City strength rating 1565 v Swansea City 1587
• Lincoln City home record this season: 0W 2D 1L
• Swansea City away form: 2W 0D 1L, 6 scored / 4 conceded
• Lincoln City unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 37% (Elo 42%, goals 33%, recent form 33%)

Main uncertainty: Swansea City are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Portsmouth strength rating 1552 v Blackburn Rovers 1554
• Portsmouth home record this season: 1W 0D 2L
• Blackburn Rovers away form: 0W 2D 1L, 3 scored / 4 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 45% (Elo 46%, goals 43%, recent form 47%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Wolverhampton Wanderers strength rating 1578 v West Bromwich Albion 1578
• West Bromwich Albion away form: 2W 0D 1L, 4 scored / 4 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Wolverhampton Wanderers +4 v West Bromwich Albion +3
• Wolverhampton Wanderers have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 45% (Elo 46%, goals 47%, recent form 40%)

Main uncertainty: West Bromwich Albion are unbeaten in their last 4 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Norwich City strength rating 1560 v Bolton Wanderers 1540
• Norwich City home record this season: 2W 0D 1L
• Bolton Wanderers away form: 0W 1D 2L, 2 scored / 7 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Norwich City 0 v Bolton Wanderers -5
• Norwich City have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 55% (Elo 50%, goals 55%, recent form 68%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 18 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.