Middlesbrough v Bristol City
18+EFL Championship · Sat 21 Nov, 15:00
Data: excellent
- Middlesbrough win
- 58%
- Draw
- 19%
- Bristol City win
- 23%
FootyGrounds prediction
Middlesbrough to win
Model probability 58%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score63 / 100 · Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Middlesbrough strength rating 1608 v Bristol City 1546
- Middlesbrough home record this season: 4W 2D 0L
- Bristol City away form: 2W 3D 1L, 9 scored / 9 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Middlesbrough +11 v Bristol City -3
- Middlesbrough unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 58% (Elo 57%, goals 60%, recent form 56%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model57%
- Goals model60%
- Recent-form model56%
Component disagreement: 4.2 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:12. Read the methodology.