Lincoln City v Wrexham
18+EFL Championship · Sat 21 Nov, 15:00
Data: excellent
- Lincoln City win
- 41%
- Draw
- 26%
- Wrexham win
- 33%
FootyGrounds prediction
Lincoln City to win
Model probability 41%
Predicted scoreline
1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score48 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Lincoln City strength rating 1530 v Wrexham 1548
- Lincoln City home record this season: 1W 2D 4L
- Wrexham away form: 1W 3D 3L, 5 scored / 11 conceded
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 41% (Elo 43%, goals 39%, recent form 42%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model43%
- Goals model39%
- Recent-form model42%
Component disagreement: 3.2 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:12. Read the methodology.