Queens Park Rangers v Lincoln City
18+EFL Championship · Sat 7 Nov, 15:00
Data: excellent
- Queens Park Rangers win
- 57%
- Draw
- 20%
- Lincoln City win
- 23%
FootyGrounds prediction
Queens Park Rangers to win
Model probability 57%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score55 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Queens Park Rangers strength rating 1588 v Lincoln City 1530
- Queens Park Rangers home record this season: 3W 2D 1L
- Lincoln City away form: 3W 1D 2L, 6 scored / 7 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Queens Park Rangers +7 v Lincoln City -9
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 57% (Elo 57%, goals 63%, recent form 49%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 13 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model57%
- Goals model63%
- Recent-form model49%
Component disagreement: 13.2 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 55% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:05), now 57%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:12. Read the methodology.