Match predictor

• Bayern Munich strength rating 1675 v Borussia Dortmund 1655
• Bayern Munich home record this season: 3W 0D 0L
• Borussia Dortmund away form: 2W 1D 0L, 4 scored / 2 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Bayern Munich +19 v Borussia Dortmund +8
• Bayern Munich unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 51% (Elo 50%, goals 57%, recent form 43%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 14 percentage points on this outcome. Borussia Dortmund are unbeaten in their last 4 matches. Borussia Dortmund have conceded under a goal a game in this venue type.

• Union Berlin strength rating 1590 v 1. FC Köln 1608
• Union Berlin home record this season: 1W 2D 1L
• 1. FC Köln away form: 0W 0D 3L, 2 scored / 7 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 43% (Elo 43%, goals 34%, recent form 61%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 27 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Eintracht Frankfurt strength rating 1605 v Hamburger SV 1596
• Eintracht Frankfurt home record this season: 1W 1D 1L
• Hamburger SV away form: 1W 0D 3L, 3 scored / 10 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Eintracht Frankfurt -7 v Hamburger SV -10
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 49% (Elo 48%, goals 53%, recent form 44%)

Main uncertainty: Hamburger SV are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Hamburger SV strength rating 1596 v Borussia Mönchengladbach 1581
• Hamburger SV home record this season: 2W 0D 1L
• Borussia Mönchengladbach away form: 1W 0D 3L, 4 scored / 12 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Hamburger SV -10 v Borussia Mönchengladbach -11
• Hamburger SV have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 51% (Elo 49%, goals 46%, recent form 65%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 19 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• RB Leipzig strength rating 1638 v FC Augsburg 1633
• RB Leipzig home record this season: 4W 0D 0L
• FC Augsburg away form: 1W 0D 2L, 9 scored / 8 conceded
• Superior goal difference: RB Leipzig +9 v FC Augsburg +4
• RB Leipzig have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 53% (Elo 47%, goals 55%, recent form 60%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 13 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Paderborn strength rating 1606 v Eintracht Frankfurt 1605
• Paderborn home record this season: 2W 0D 2L
• Eintracht Frankfurt away form: 1W 1D 2L, 6 scored / 11 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Paderborn -3 v Eintracht Frankfurt -7
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 47% (Elo 46%, goals 49%, recent form 47%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Bayern Munich strength rating 1675 v Mainz 05 1615
• Bayern Munich away record this season: 2W 2D 0L
• Mainz 05 home form: 0W 1D 3L, 6 scored / 10 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Bayern Munich +19 v Mainz 05 0
• Bayern Munich unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 48% (Elo 36%, goals 58%, recent form 57%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 22 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Borussia Dortmund strength rating 1655 v Elversberg 1623
• Borussia Dortmund home record this season: 3W 1D 0L
• Elversberg away form: 1W 1D 2L, 4 scored / 8 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Borussia Dortmund +8 v Elversberg 0
• Borussia Dortmund unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 56% (Elo 52%, goals 60%, recent form 61%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• VfB Stuttgart strength rating 1605 v Werder Bremen 1631
• VfB Stuttgart home record this season: 1W 0D 2L
• Werder Bremen away form: 1W 2D 1L, 7 scored / 9 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 39% (Elo 41%, goals 41%, recent form 32%)

Main uncertainty: Werder Bremen are unbeaten in their last 4 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• 1. FC Köln strength rating 1608 v Bayer Leverkusen 1636
• 1. FC Köln home record this season: 2W 2D 0L
• Bayer Leverkusen away form: 1W 1D 2L, 8 scored / 11 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 38% (Elo 41%, goals 37%, recent form 36%)

Main uncertainty: Bayer Leverkusen are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• SC Freiburg strength rating 1637 v Union Berlin 1590
• SC Freiburg home record this season: 3W 0D 1L
• Union Berlin away form: 0W 1D 2L, 1 scored / 12 conceded
• Superior goal difference: SC Freiburg +7 v Union Berlin -12
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 64% (Elo 55%, goals 73%, recent form 68%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 18 percentage points on this outcome. Union Berlin are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• TSG Hoffenheim strength rating 1616 v Schalke 04 1609
• TSG Hoffenheim home record this season: 2W 0D 2L
• Schalke 04 away form: 1W 1D 2L, 4 scored / 6 conceded
• Superior goal difference: TSG Hoffenheim 0 v Schalke 04 -3
• TSG Hoffenheim have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 49% (Elo 48%, goals 48%, recent form 52%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Bayern Munich strength rating 1675 v 1. FC Köln 1608
• Bayern Munich home record this season: 3W 0D 0L
• 1. FC Köln away form: 0W 0D 3L, 2 scored / 7 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Bayern Munich +19 v 1. FC Köln -3
• Bayern Munich unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 68% (Elo 58%, goals 75%, recent form 76%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 18 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Elversberg strength rating 1623 v SC Freiburg 1637
• Elversberg home record this season: 3W 0D 1L
• SC Freiburg away form: 1W 1D 1L, 4 scored / 4 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 41% (Elo 43%, goals 38%, recent form 43%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• RB Leipzig strength rating 1638 v Union Berlin 1590
• RB Leipzig away record this season: 0W 0D 3L
• Union Berlin home form: 1W 2D 1L, 5 scored / 6 conceded
• Superior goal difference: RB Leipzig +9 v Union Berlin -12
• RB Leipzig have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 42% (Elo 35%, goals 60%, recent form 29%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 31 percentage points on this outcome. Union Berlin are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Bayer Leverkusen strength rating 1636 v Paderborn 1606
• Bayer Leverkusen home record this season: 3W 0D 0L
• Paderborn away form: 0W 2D 1L, 2 scored / 5 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Bayer Leverkusen +4 v Paderborn -3
• Bayer Leverkusen have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 55% (Elo 52%, goals 54%, recent form 65%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 13 percentage points on this outcome. Paderborn are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Borussia Dortmund strength rating 1655 v Borussia Mönchengladbach 1581
• Borussia Dortmund away record this season: 2W 1D 0L
• Borussia Mönchengladbach home form: 0W 0D 3L, 7 scored / 10 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Borussia Dortmund +8 v Borussia Mönchengladbach -11
• Borussia Dortmund unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 51% (Elo 39%, goals 56%, recent form 69%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 30 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Eintracht Frankfurt strength rating 1605 v TSG Hoffenheim 1616
• Eintracht Frankfurt home record this season: 1W 1D 1L
• TSG Hoffenheim away form: 1W 0D 2L, 5 scored / 7 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 41% (Elo 44%, goals 38%, recent form 41%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.