RB Leipzig v FC Augsburg
18+Bundesliga · Sat 7 Nov, 14:30
Data: good
- RB Leipzig win
- 53%
- Draw
- 20%
- FC Augsburg win
- 27%
FootyGrounds prediction
RB Leipzig to win
Model probability 53%
Predicted scoreline
2–2 (range 1–1 to 3–3)
FootyGrounds confidence score44 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- RB Leipzig strength rating 1638 v FC Augsburg 1633
- RB Leipzig home record this season: 4W 0D 0L
- FC Augsburg away form: 1W 0D 2L, 9 scored / 8 conceded
- Superior goal difference: RB Leipzig +9 v FC Augsburg +4
- RB Leipzig have won 3 of their last 5
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 53% (Elo 47%, goals 55%, recent form 60%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 13 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model47%
- Goals model55%
- Recent-form model60%
Component disagreement: 13.3 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 53% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:02), now 53%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:09. Read the methodology.