Match predictor

• AC Milan strength rating 1646 v Inter Milan 1680
• AC Milan home record this season: 3W 0D 1L
• Inter Milan away form: 3W 1D 0L, 8 scored / 3 conceded
• AC Milan have won 3 of their last 5
• Inter Milan played just 3 days ago
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 38% (Elo 39%, goals 38%, recent form 34%)

Main uncertainty: Inter Milan are unbeaten in their last 4 matches. Inter Milan have conceded under a goal a game in this venue type. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Como strength rating 1664 v Venezia 1561
• Como home record this season: 2W 1D 0L
• Venezia away form: 0W 0D 4L, 3 scored / 9 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Como +9 v Venezia -13
• Como have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 70% (Elo 64%, goals 73%, recent form 79%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 16 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Frosinone strength rating 1647 v Torino 1618
• Frosinone home record this season: 4W 0D 1L
• Torino away form: 2W 1D 1L, 7 scored / 4 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Frosinone +8 v Torino 0
• Frosinone have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 53% (Elo 52%, goals 58%, recent form 46%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 12 percentage points on this outcome. Torino are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Lazio strength rating 1687 v Cagliari 1607
• Lazio home record this season: 3W 1D 0L
• Cagliari away form: 3W 0D 2L, 6 scored / 9 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Lazio +15 v Cagliari -5
• Lazio unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 63% (Elo 60%, goals 70%, recent form 56%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 14 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Lecce strength rating 1591 v Genoa 1599
• Lecce home record this season: 1W 0D 3L
• Genoa away form: 0W 0D 3L, 1 scored / 5 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 43% (Elo 45%, goals 41%, recent form 43%)

Main uncertainty: Genoa are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Juventus strength rating 1625 v Napoli 1642
• Juventus home record this season: 2W 1D 1L
• Napoli away form: 2W 1D 2L, 9 scored / 6 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 40% (Elo 43%, goals 39%, recent form 37%)

Main uncertainty: Napoli are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Sassuolo strength rating 1591 v Fiorentina 1579
• Sassuolo home record this season: 2W 1D 1L
• Fiorentina away form: 1W 0D 3L, 6 scored / 10 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Sassuolo -8 v Fiorentina -10
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 50% (Elo 48%, goals 52%, recent form 52%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Atalanta strength rating 1613 v Parma 1580
• Atalanta home record this season: 3W 1D 1L
• Parma away form: 0W 0D 4L, 2 scored / 9 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Atalanta -1 v Parma -10
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 58% (Elo 52%, goals 59%, recent form 69%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 17 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Venezia strength rating 1561 v Udinese 1577
• Venezia home record this season: 1W 0D 4L
• Udinese away form: 1W 1D 2L, 7 scored / 9 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 42% (Elo 43%, goals 39%, recent form 47%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Torino strength rating 1618 v Lecce 1591
• Torino home record this season: 2W 0D 3L
• Lecce away form: 2W 0D 3L, 6 scored / 9 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Torino 0 v Lecce -9
• Torino have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 53% (Elo 51%, goals 58%, recent form 49%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Frosinone strength rating 1647 v Cagliari 1607
• Frosinone away record this season: 1W 2D 1L
• Cagliari home form: 1W 1D 2L, 2 scored / 4 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Frosinone +8 v Cagliari -5
• Frosinone have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 39% (Elo 34%, goals 47%, recent form 38%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 13 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Bologna strength rating 1624 v Parma 1580
• Bologna away record this season: 3W 0D 2L
• Parma home form: 1W 2D 2L, 3 scored / 6 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Bologna 0 v Parma -10
• Bologna have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 40% (Elo 34%, goals 42%, recent form 47%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 13 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• AS Roma strength rating 1676 v Sassuolo 1591
• AS Roma home record this season: 4W 1D 0L
• Sassuolo away form: 0W 1D 4L, 6 scored / 12 conceded
• Superior goal difference: AS Roma +15 v Sassuolo -8
• AS Roma unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 69% (Elo 61%, goals 77%, recent form 74%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 16 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Lazio strength rating 1687 v Napoli 1642
• Lazio away record this season: 5W 0D 0L
• Napoli home form: 2W 1D 1L, 8 scored / 5 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Lazio +15 v Napoli +6
• Lazio unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 39% (Elo 34%, goals 42%, recent form 44%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 10 percentage points on this outcome. Napoli are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Monza strength rating 1592 v Atalanta 1613
• Monza home record this season: 2W 0D 2L
• Atalanta away form: 0W 1D 3L, 5 scored / 9 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 46% (Elo 42%, goals 43%, recent form 60%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 18 percentage points on this outcome. Atalanta are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• AC Milan strength rating 1646 v Genoa 1599
• AC Milan away record this season: 2W 3D 0L
• Genoa home form: 3W 1D 2L, 7 scored / 8 conceded
• Superior goal difference: AC Milan +7 v Genoa -5
• AC Milan have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 38% (Elo 34%, goals 45%, recent form 33%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 12 percentage points on this outcome. Genoa are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Inter Milan strength rating 1680 v Como 1664
• Inter Milan home record this season: 5W 0D 0L
• Como away form: 4W 1D 1L, 13 scored / 7 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Inter Milan +15 v Como +9
• Inter Milan unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 49% (Elo 49%, goals 52%, recent form 45%)

Main uncertainty: Como are unbeaten in their last 4 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Juventus strength rating 1625 v Fiorentina 1579
• Juventus away record this season: 2W 1D 2L
• Fiorentina home form: 0W 2D 3L, 5 scored / 11 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Juventus +1 v Fiorentina -10
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 39% (Elo 34%, goals 43%, recent form 43%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Lazio strength rating 1687 v Lecce 1591
• Lazio home record this season: 3W 1D 0L
• Lecce away form: 2W 0D 3L, 6 scored / 9 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Lazio +15 v Lecce -9
• Lazio unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 67% (Elo 63%, goals 76%, recent form 62%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 14 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Como strength rating 1664 v Cagliari 1607
• Como home record this season: 2W 1D 0L
• Cagliari away form: 3W 0D 2L, 6 scored / 9 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Como +9 v Cagliari -5
• Como have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 58% (Elo 57%, goals 62%, recent form 52%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 10 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.