Match predictor

• Real Betis strength rating 1635 v Málaga 1572
• Real Betis home record this season: 4W 0D 1L
• Málaga away form: 0W 2D 3L, 2 scored / 9 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Real Betis +2 v Málaga -12
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 63% (Elo 57%, goals 63%, recent form 73%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 16 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• FC Barcelona strength rating 1713 v Alavés 1620
• FC Barcelona home record this season: 4W 0D 1L
• Alavés away form: 0W 2D 2L, 3 scored / 5 conceded
• Superior goal difference: FC Barcelona +29 v Alavés +3
• FC Barcelona have won 4 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 69% (Elo 62%, goals 73%, recent form 77%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 15 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Sevilla FC strength rating 1625 v Getafe CF 1592
• Sevilla FC away record this season: 2W 2D 1L
• Getafe CF home form: 2W 3D 0L, 5 scored / 3 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Sevilla FC 0 v Getafe CF -10
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 37% (Elo 33%, goals 43%, recent form 36%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 10 percentage points on this outcome. Getafe CF have conceded under a goal a game in this venue type. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Real Madrid strength rating 1674 v Racing de Santander 1593
• Real Madrid away record this season: 3W 0D 2L
• Racing de Santander home form: 3W 2D 0L, 11 scored / 8 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Real Madrid +15 v Racing de Santander -11
• Real Madrid have won 4 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 48% (Elo 40%, goals 64%, recent form 39%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 25 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Elche strength rating 1610 v Valencia CF 1579
• Elche home record this season: 0W 1D 3L
• Valencia CF away form: 1W 1D 2L, 4 scored / 6 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Elche -3 v Valencia CF -10
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 52% (Elo 52%, goals 55%, recent form 44%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 11 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Athletic Club strength rating 1627 v Real Sociedad 1634
• Athletic Club home record this season: 2W 2D 1L
• Real Sociedad away form: 3W 0D 2L, 12 scored / 11 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Athletic Club +3 v Real Sociedad +1
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 44% (Elo 45%, goals 49%, recent form 33%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 16 percentage points on this outcome. Real Sociedad are unbeaten in their last 4 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Deportivo de A Coruña strength rating 1618 v CA Osasuna 1592
• Deportivo de A Coruña home record this season: 1W 3D 1L
• CA Osasuna away form: 1W 0D 4L, 6 scored / 17 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Deportivo de A Coruña 0 v CA Osasuna -10
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 53% (Elo 51%, goals 57%, recent form 50%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Sevilla FC strength rating 1625 v Alavés 1620
• Sevilla FC home record this season: 3W 0D 2L
• Alavés away form: 0W 2D 2L, 3 scored / 5 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 50% (Elo 47%, goals 41%, recent form 72%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 30 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Málaga strength rating 1572 v Racing de Santander 1593
• Málaga home record this season: 0W 3D 2L
• Racing de Santander away form: 0W 0D 5L, 4 scored / 18 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 42% (Elo 42%, goals 41%, recent form 43%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• RCD Espanyol strength rating 1607 v Deportivo de A Coruña 1618
• RCD Espanyol home record this season: 1W 1D 3L
• Deportivo de A Coruña away form: 1W 2D 2L, 7 scored / 8 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 44% (Elo 44%, goals 43%, recent form 45%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Athletic Club strength rating 1627 v CA Osasuna 1592
• Athletic Club away record this season: 1W 1D 2L
• CA Osasuna home form: 2W 2D 1L, 4 scored / 3 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Athletic Club +3 v CA Osasuna -10
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 38% (Elo 33%, goals 46%, recent form 34%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 12 percentage points on this outcome. CA Osasuna have conceded under a goal a game in this venue type. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Real Madrid strength rating 1674 v Valencia CF 1579
• Real Madrid away record this season: 3W 0D 2L
• Valencia CF home form: 0W 2D 4L, 3 scored / 11 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Real Madrid +15 v Valencia CF -10
• Real Madrid have won 4 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 53% (Elo 43%, goals 61%, recent form 60%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 18 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Elche strength rating 1610 v Real Betis 1635
• Elche home record this season: 0W 1D 3L
• Real Betis away form: 2W 2D 1L, 6 scored / 7 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 39% (Elo 41%, goals 40%, recent form 31%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 10 percentage points on this outcome. Real Betis are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Real Sociedad strength rating 1634 v Rayo Vallecano 1593
• Real Sociedad home record this season: 3W 1D 1L
• Rayo Vallecano away form: 0W 2D 3L, 6 scored / 13 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Real Sociedad +1 v Rayo Vallecano -8
• Real Sociedad have won 4 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 58% (Elo 54%, goals 61%, recent form 63%)

Main uncertainty: Rayo Vallecano are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Celta Vigo strength rating 1621 v Levante 1597
• Celta Vigo home record this season: 2W 2D 2L
• Levante away form: 0W 3D 3L, 3 scored / 9 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Celta Vigo +3 v Levante -5
• Celta Vigo unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 54% (Elo 51%, goals 53%, recent form 61%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 11 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Villarreal CF strength rating 1615 v Getafe CF 1592
• Villarreal CF home record this season: 1W 1D 3L
• Getafe CF away form: 0W 0D 5L, 0 scored / 12 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Villarreal CF 0 v Getafe CF -10
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 56% (Elo 51%, goals 57%, recent form 65%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 14 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Atlético Madrid strength rating 1684 v FC Barcelona 1713
• Atlético Madrid home record this season: 4W 1D 0L
• FC Barcelona away form: 5W 0D 0L, 22 scored / 5 conceded
• Atlético Madrid unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 39% (Elo 41%, goals 37%, recent form 40%)

Main uncertainty: FC Barcelona are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Athletic Club strength rating 1627 v RCD Espanyol 1607
• Athletic Club home record this season: 2W 2D 1L
• RCD Espanyol away form: 2W 1D 3L, 7 scored / 7 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Athletic Club +3 v RCD Espanyol -1
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 50% (Elo 50%, goals 49%, recent form 53%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Alavés strength rating 1620 v Deportivo de A Coruña 1618
• Alavés home record this season: 3W 1D 2L
• Deportivo de A Coruña away form: 1W 2D 2L, 7 scored / 8 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Alavés +3 v Deportivo de A Coruña 0
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 47% (Elo 47%, goals 48%, recent form 47%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Rayo Vallecano strength rating 1593 v Valencia CF 1579
• Rayo Vallecano home record this season: 2W 1D 1L
• Valencia CF away form: 1W 1D 2L, 4 scored / 6 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Rayo Vallecano -8 v Valencia CF -10
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 51% (Elo 49%, goals 50%, recent form 55%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.