Match predictor

• Atlético Madrid strength rating 1642 v CA Osasuna 1611
• Superior goal difference: Atlético Madrid +4 v CA Osasuna -3
• Atlético Madrid have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 54% (Elo 52%, goals 58%, recent form 49%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Deportivo de A Coruña strength rating 1635 v Sevilla FC 1629
• Superior goal difference: Deportivo de A Coruña +3 v Sevilla FC +2
• Deportivo de A Coruña unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 45% (Elo 47%, goals 47%, recent form 38%)

Main uncertainty: Sevilla FC are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• FC Barcelona strength rating 1681 v Racing de Santander 1620
• Superior goal difference: FC Barcelona +17 v Racing de Santander 0
• FC Barcelona unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 66% (Elo 57%, goals 75%, recent form 72%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 18 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Levante strength rating 1611 v Athletic Club 1624
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 41% (Elo 44%, goals 40%, recent form 37%)

Main uncertainty: Athletic Club are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Real Betis strength rating 1633 v Getafe CF 1610
• Superior goal difference: Real Betis +1 v Getafe CF -3
• Real Betis have won 4 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 55% (Elo 51%, goals 51%, recent form 74%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 24 percentage points on this outcome. Getafe CF are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Málaga strength rating 1601 v Villarreal CF 1601
• Villarreal CF away form: 0W 2D 1L, 4 scored / 5 conceded
• Villarreal CF played just 3 days ago
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 45% (Elo 46%, goals 38%, recent form 54%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 16 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• RCD Espanyol strength rating 1623 v Elche 1584
• RCD Espanyol home record this season: 1W 1D 1L
• Elche away form: 0W 2D 1L, 4 scored / 5 conceded
• Superior goal difference: RCD Espanyol +2 v Elche -8
• Elche played just 3 days ago
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 59% (Elo 53%, goals 62%, recent form 64%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 10 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• CA Osasuna strength rating 1611 v Rayo Vallecano 1608
• CA Osasuna home record this season: 1W 1D 1L
• Rayo Vallecano away form: 0W 0D 3L, 4 scored / 11 conceded
• Superior goal difference: CA Osasuna -3 v Rayo Vallecano -5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 50% (Elo 47%, goals 49%, recent form 60%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 13 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Athletic Club strength rating 1624 v Alavés 1632
• Athletic Club home record this season: 1W 1D 1L
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 43% (Elo 45%, goals 39%, recent form 47%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Celta Vigo strength rating 1602 v Racing de Santander 1620
• Celta Vigo home record this season: 0W 1D 2L
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 40% (Elo 43%, goals 38%, recent form 37%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• FC Barcelona strength rating 1681 v Sevilla FC 1629
• FC Barcelona away record this season: 3W 0D 0L
• Sevilla FC home form: 2W 0D 1L, 4 scored / 4 conceded
• Superior goal difference: FC Barcelona +17 v Sevilla FC +2
• FC Barcelona unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 43% (Elo 35%, goals 53%, recent form 43%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 18 percentage points on this outcome. Sevilla FC are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Getafe CF strength rating 1610 v Málaga 1601
• Getafe CF home record this season: 1W 2D 0L
• Málaga away form: 0W 1D 2L, 1 scored / 7 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Getafe CF -3 v Málaga -6
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 51% (Elo 48%, goals 47%, recent form 64%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 17 percentage points on this outcome. Málaga are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Atlético Madrid strength rating 1642 v Real Madrid 1657
• Real Madrid away form: 2W 0D 1L, 5 scored / 4 conceded
• Atlético Madrid have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 40% (Elo 43%, goals 37%, recent form 36%)

Main uncertainty: Real Madrid are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Villarreal CF strength rating 1601 v Levante 1611
• Levante away form: 0W 2D 1L, 0 scored / 3 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 42% (Elo 44%, goals 45%, recent form 30%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 15 percentage points on this outcome. Levante are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Deportivo de A Coruña strength rating 1635 v Real Betis 1633
• Real Betis away form: 2W 0D 1L, 5 scored / 6 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Deportivo de A Coruña +3 v Real Betis +1
• Deportivo de A Coruña unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 45% (Elo 46%, goals 49%, recent form 35%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 14 percentage points on this outcome. Real Betis are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Valencia CF strength rating 1592 v Real Sociedad 1604
• Valencia CF home record this season: 0W 1D 2L
• Real Sociedad away form: 1W 0D 2L, 4 scored / 7 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 39% (Elo 44%, goals 37%, recent form 32%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 12 percentage points on this outcome. Real Sociedad are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.