Getafe CF v Sevilla FC
18+La Liga · Sun 1 Nov, 13:00
Data: excellent
- Getafe CF win
- 35%
- Draw
- 27%
- Sevilla FC win
- 37%
FootyGrounds prediction
Sevilla FC to win
Model probability 37%
Predicted scoreline
1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score37 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Sevilla FC strength rating 1625 v Getafe CF 1592
- Sevilla FC away record this season: 2W 2D 1L
- Getafe CF home form: 2W 3D 0L, 5 scored / 3 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Sevilla FC 0 v Getafe CF -10
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 37% (Elo 33%, goals 43%, recent form 36%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 10 percentage points on this outcome. Getafe CF have conceded under a goal a game in this venue type. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model33%
- Goals model43%
- Recent-form model36%
Component disagreement: 10.2 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 37% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:02), now 37%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:09. Read the methodology.