Real Betis v Málaga
18+La Liga · Sat 31 Oct, 17:30
Data: excellent
- Real Betis win
- 63%
- Draw
- 18%
- Málaga win
- 20%
FootyGrounds prediction
Real Betis to win
Model probability 63%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score57 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Real Betis strength rating 1635 v Málaga 1572
- Real Betis home record this season: 4W 0D 1L
- Málaga away form: 0W 2D 3L, 2 scored / 9 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Real Betis +2 v Málaga -12
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 63% (Elo 57%, goals 63%, recent form 73%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 16 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model57%
- Goals model63%
- Recent-form model73%
Component disagreement: 15.7 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 63% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:02), now 63%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:09. Read the methodology.