Match predictor

• Tottenham Hotspur strength rating 1612 v Crystal Palace 1577
• Tottenham Hotspur home record this season: 1W 1D 2L
• Crystal Palace away form: 1W 1D 3L, 3 scored / 12 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Tottenham Hotspur -2 v Crystal Palace -10
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 53% (Elo 53%, goals 56%, recent form 49%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Aston Villa strength rating 1615 v Fulham 1608
• Aston Villa home record this season: 1W 1D 2L
• Fulham away form: 1W 1D 2L, 2 scored / 3 conceded
• Aston Villa have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 46% (Elo 48%, goals 42%, recent form 47%)

Main uncertainty: Fulham are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. Fulham have conceded under a goal a game in this venue type. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Liverpool strength rating 1650 v Arsenal 1665
• Liverpool home record this season: 2W 2D 1L
• Arsenal away form: 3W 0D 1L, 4 scored / 3 conceded
• Liverpool have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 39% (Elo 43%, goals 35%, recent form 34%)

Main uncertainty: Arsenal are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. Arsenal have conceded under a goal a game in this venue type. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Newcastle United strength rating 1613 v Everton 1614
• Newcastle United home record this season: 1W 2D 1L
• Everton away form: 0W 4D 1L, 4 scored / 6 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 46% (Elo 46%, goals 44%, recent form 50%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Everton strength rating 1614 v Coventry City 1585
• Everton home record this season: 2W 1D 1L
• Coventry City away form: 1W 0D 3L, 2 scored / 7 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Everton -1 v Coventry City -8
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 52% (Elo 52%, goals 52%, recent form 53%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Leeds United strength rating 1632 v Tottenham Hotspur 1612
• Leeds United home record this season: 1W 3D 0L
• Tottenham Hotspur away form: 1W 2D 1L, 3 scored / 4 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Leeds United +3 v Tottenham Hotspur -2
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 47% (Elo 50%, goals 48%, recent form 40%)

Main uncertainty: Tottenham Hotspur are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Arsenal strength rating 1665 v Hull City 1624
• Arsenal home record this season: 5W 0D 0L
• Hull City away form: 1W 1D 2L, 4 scored / 5 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Arsenal +8 v Hull City +1
• Arsenal have won 4 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 56% (Elo 54%, goals 52%, recent form 69%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 17 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Fulham strength rating 1608 v Newcastle United 1613
• Fulham home record this season: 1W 1D 2L
• Newcastle United away form: 2W 0D 3L, 7 scored / 10 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 44% (Elo 45%, goals 44%, recent form 42%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Manchester City strength rating 1668 v Nottingham Forest 1597
• Manchester City away record this season: 3W 0D 1L
• Nottingham Forest home form: 0W 1D 3L, 0 scored / 3 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Manchester City +10 v Nottingham Forest -4
• Manchester City have won 4 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 46% (Elo 38%, goals 48%, recent form 62%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 23 percentage points on this outcome. Nottingham Forest have conceded under a goal a game in this venue type. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Liverpool strength rating 1650 v Crystal Palace 1577
• Liverpool away record this season: 3W 1D 0L
• Crystal Palace home form: 1W 0D 3L, 6 scored / 10 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Liverpool +3 v Crystal Palace -10
• Liverpool have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 45% (Elo 39%, goals 49%, recent form 52%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 13 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Brighton & Hove Albion strength rating 1666 v Brentford 1633
• Brighton & Hove Albion home record this season: 3W 1D 0L
• Brentford away form: 0W 4D 0L, 6 scored / 6 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Brighton & Hove Albion +17 v Brentford +5
• Brighton & Hove Albion have won 4 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 57% (Elo 52%, goals 61%, recent form 60%)

Main uncertainty: Brentford are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Ipswich Town strength rating 1607 v AFC Bournemouth 1619
• Ipswich Town home record this season: 2W 1D 1L
• AFC Bournemouth away form: 1W 1D 2L, 7 scored / 9 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 44% (Elo 44%, goals 42%, recent form 47%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Chelsea strength rating 1635 v Sunderland 1585
• Chelsea away record this season: 2W 0D 2L
• Sunderland home form: 1W 1D 2L, 1 scored / 4 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Chelsea +4 v Sunderland -9
• Chelsea have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 43% (Elo 35%, goals 50%, recent form 50%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 15 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Manchester United strength rating 1594 v Aston Villa 1615
• Manchester United home record this season: 1W 1D 2L
• Aston Villa away form: 2W 1D 1L, 4 scored / 6 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 39% (Elo 42%, goals 42%, recent form 28%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 14 percentage points on this outcome. Aston Villa are unbeaten in their last 4 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Manchester City strength rating 1668 v Fulham 1608
• Manchester City home record this season: 4W 1D 0L
• Fulham away form: 1W 1D 2L, 2 scored / 3 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Manchester City +10 v Fulham -2
• Manchester City have won 4 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 59% (Elo 57%, goals 62%, recent form 60%)

Main uncertainty: Fulham are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. Fulham have conceded under a goal a game in this venue type. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Coventry City strength rating 1585 v Crystal Palace 1577
• Coventry City home record this season: 1W 0D 3L
• Crystal Palace away form: 1W 1D 3L, 3 scored / 12 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Coventry City -8 v Crystal Palace -10
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 46% (Elo 48%, goals 47%, recent form 41%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• AFC Bournemouth strength rating 1619 v Nottingham Forest 1597
• AFC Bournemouth home record this season: 1W 2D 1L
• Nottingham Forest away form: 1W 2D 1L, 6 scored / 7 conceded
• Superior goal difference: AFC Bournemouth -1 v Nottingham Forest -4
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 49% (Elo 50%, goals 48%, recent form 48%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Tottenham Hotspur strength rating 1612 v Ipswich Town 1607
• Tottenham Hotspur home record this season: 1W 1D 2L
• Ipswich Town away form: 1W 0D 3L, 7 scored / 11 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Tottenham Hotspur -2 v Ipswich Town -4
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 47% (Elo 47%, goals 47%, recent form 49%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Aston Villa strength rating 1615 v Sunderland 1585
• Aston Villa home record this season: 1W 1D 2L
• Sunderland away form: 0W 1D 3L, 5 scored / 10 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Aston Villa -3 v Sunderland -9
• Aston Villa have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 56% (Elo 52%, goals 53%, recent form 73%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 21 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Chelsea strength rating 1635 v Leeds United 1632
• Chelsea home record this season: 3W 1D 1L
• Leeds United away form: 1W 2D 1L, 3 scored / 3 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Chelsea +4 v Leeds United +3
• Chelsea have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 47% (Elo 47%, goals 44%, recent form 52%)

Main uncertainty: Leeds United are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. Leeds United have conceded under a goal a game in this venue type. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.