Tottenham Hotspur v Crystal Palace
18+Premier League · Sat 31 Oct, 17:30
Data: good
- Tottenham Hotspur win
- 53%
- Draw
- 21%
- Crystal Palace win
- 26%
FootyGrounds prediction
Tottenham Hotspur to win
Model probability 53%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score50 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Tottenham Hotspur strength rating 1612 v Crystal Palace 1577
- Tottenham Hotspur home record this season: 1W 1D 2L
- Crystal Palace away form: 1W 1D 3L, 3 scored / 12 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Tottenham Hotspur -2 v Crystal Palace -10
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 53% (Elo 53%, goals 56%, recent form 49%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model53%
- Goals model56%
- Recent-form model49%
Component disagreement: 7.1 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 53% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:02), now 53%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:08. Read the methodology.