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Match predictor

18+

Transparent statistical predictions for upcoming football fixtures: win, draw and away probabilities, a FootyGrounds confidence score, data quality and the reasoning behind every forecast.

How the model works · Historical accuracy

AFC Wimbledon v Milton Keynes Dons

EFL League One · Thu 17 Sept, 19:00

Data: excellent
AFC Wimbledon win
50%
Draw
22%
Milton Keynes Dons win
28%

FootyGrounds prediction

AFC Wimbledon to win

Model probability 50% · predicted score 1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score39 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • AFC Wimbledon strength rating 1501 v Milton Keynes Dons 1491
  • AFC Wimbledon home record this season: 2W 1D 0L
  • Milton Keynes Dons away form: 0W 2D 1L, 6 scored / 8 conceded
  • AFC Wimbledon have won 3 of their last 5
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 50% (Elo 48%, goals 44%, recent form 64%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 20 percentage points on this outcome. Milton Keynes Dons are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Burton Albion v Mansfield Town

EFL League One · Sat 19 Sept, 11:30

Data: excellent
Burton Albion win
52%
Draw
21%
Mansfield Town win
27%

FootyGrounds prediction

Burton Albion to win

Model probability 52% · predicted score 2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score47 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Burton Albion strength rating 1502 v Mansfield Town 1491
  • Burton Albion home record this season: 1W 2D 0L
  • Mansfield Town away form: 0W 0D 3L, 1 scored / 8 conceded
  • Superior goal difference: Burton Albion 0 v Mansfield Town -3
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 52% (Elo 48%, goals 52%, recent form 62%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 14 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Barnsley v Leicester City

EFL League One · Sat 19 Sept, 11:30

Data: excellent
Barnsley win
41%
Draw
25%
Leicester City win
34%

FootyGrounds prediction

Barnsley to win

Model probability 41% · predicted score 2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score40 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Barnsley strength rating 1483 v Leicester City 1492
  • Barnsley home record this season: 1W 0D 2L
  • Leicester City away form: 1W 2D 0L, 5 scored / 4 conceded
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 41% (Elo 44%, goals 41%, recent form 34%)

Main uncertainty: Leicester City are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Reading v Notts County

EFL League One · Sat 19 Sept, 14:00

Data: excellent
Reading win
51%
Draw
22%
Notts County win
27%

FootyGrounds prediction

Reading to win

Model probability 51% · predicted score 2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score53 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Reading strength rating 1510 v Notts County 1498
  • Reading home record this season: 2W 0D 1L
  • Notts County away form: 0W 3D 0L, 4 scored / 4 conceded
  • Superior goal difference: Reading +5 v Notts County 0
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 51% (Elo 48%, goals 54%, recent form 52%)

Main uncertainty: Notts County are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Leyton Orient v Stevenage

EFL League One · Sat 19 Sept, 14:00

Data: excellent
Leyton Orient win
41%
Draw
23%
Stevenage win
35%

FootyGrounds prediction

Leyton Orient to win

Model probability 41% · predicted score 2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score35 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Leyton Orient strength rating 1504 v Stevenage 1515
  • Leyton Orient home record this season: 0W 0D 3L
  • Stevenage away form: 1W 2D 0L, 6 scored / 2 conceded
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 41% (Elo 44%, goals 45%, recent form 29%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 16 percentage points on this outcome. Stevenage are unbeaten in their last 4 matches. Stevenage have conceded under a goal a game in this venue type.

Full match analysis
Peterborough United v Doncaster Rovers

EFL League One · Sat 19 Sept, 14:00

Data: excellent
Peterborough United win
47%
Draw
23%
Doncaster Rovers win
30%

FootyGrounds prediction

Peterborough United to win

Model probability 47% · predicted score 1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score32 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Peterborough United strength rating 1479 v Doncaster Rovers 1483
  • Peterborough United home record this season: 1W 1D 1L
  • Doncaster Rovers away form: 0W 1D 2L, 3 scored / 5 conceded
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 47% (Elo 45%, goals 39%, recent form 63%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 24 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Sheffield Wednesday v Stockport County

EFL League One · Sat 19 Sept, 14:00

Data: excellent
Sheffield Wednesday win
48%
Draw
22%
Stockport County win
30%

FootyGrounds prediction

Sheffield Wednesday to win

Model probability 48% · predicted score 2–2 (range 1–1 to 3–3)

FootyGrounds confidence score47 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Sheffield Wednesday strength rating 1527 v Stockport County 1515
  • Sheffield Wednesday home record this season: 1W 1D 1L
  • Stockport County away form: 2W 0D 1L, 7 scored / 3 conceded
  • Superior goal difference: Sheffield Wednesday +7 v Stockport County +6
  • Sheffield Wednesday have won 3 of their last 5
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 48% (Elo 48%, goals 51%, recent form 41%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Luton Town v Bradford City

EFL League One · Sat 19 Sept, 14:00

Data: excellent
Luton Town win
41%
Draw
25%
Bradford City win
34%

FootyGrounds prediction

Luton Town to win

Model probability 41% · predicted score 1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score39 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Luton Town strength rating 1500 v Bradford City 1511
  • Luton Town home record this season: 1W 2D 0L
  • Bradford City away form: 2W 0D 1L, 2 scored / 2 conceded
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 41% (Elo 44%, goals 40%, recent form 34%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 10 percentage points on this outcome. Bradford City have conceded under a goal a game in this venue type. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Wigan Athletic v Wycombe Wanderers

EFL League One · Sat 19 Sept, 14:00

Data: excellent
Wigan Athletic win
41%
Draw
25%
Wycombe Wanderers win
34%

FootyGrounds prediction

Wigan Athletic to win

Model probability 41% · predicted score 2–2 (range 1–1 to 3–3)

FootyGrounds confidence score41 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Wigan Athletic strength rating 1472 v Wycombe Wanderers 1489
  • Wigan Athletic home record this season: 1W 0D 2L
  • Wycombe Wanderers away form: 1W 1D 1L, 5 scored / 8 conceded
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 41% (Elo 43%, goals 42%, recent form 35%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Blackpool v Plymouth Argyle

EFL League One · Sat 19 Sept, 14:00

Data: excellent
Blackpool win
45%
Draw
24%
Plymouth Argyle win
31%

FootyGrounds prediction

Blackpool to win

Model probability 45% · predicted score 2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score47 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Blackpool strength rating 1505 v Plymouth Argyle 1507
  • Blackpool home record this season: 1W 2D 0L
  • Plymouth Argyle away form: 1W 1D 1L, 4 scored / 5 conceded
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 45% (Elo 46%, goals 46%, recent form 40%)

Main uncertainty: Plymouth Argyle are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Bromley v Huddersfield Town

EFL League One · Sat 19 Sept, 14:00

Data: excellent
Bromley win
28%
Draw
25%
Huddersfield Town win
47%

FootyGrounds prediction

Huddersfield Town to win

Model probability 47% · predicted score 1–2 (range 0–1 to 2–3)

FootyGrounds confidence score36 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Huddersfield Town strength rating 1525 v Bromley 1464
  • Huddersfield Town away record this season: 1W 2D 0L
  • Bromley home form: 0W 1D 2L, 1 scored / 8 conceded
  • Superior goal difference: Huddersfield Town +6 v Bromley -11
  • Huddersfield Town unbeaten in their last 5 matches
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 47% (Elo 36%, goals 56%, recent form 54%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 20 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Oxford United v Cambridge United

EFL League One · Sat 19 Sept, 14:00

Data: excellent
Oxford United win
50%
Draw
22%
Cambridge United win
28%

FootyGrounds prediction

Oxford United to win

Model probability 50% · predicted score 2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score48 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Oxford United strength rating 1526 v Cambridge United 1511
  • Cambridge United away form: 1W 2D 0L, 5 scored / 4 conceded
  • Superior goal difference: Oxford United +6 v Cambridge United +2
  • Oxford United have won 3 of their last 5
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 50% (Elo 49%, goals 54%, recent form 44%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 11 percentage points on this outcome. Cambridge United are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Bradford City v Barnsley

EFL League One · Sat 26 Sept, 14:00

Data: excellent
Bradford City win
53%
Draw
22%
Barnsley win
25%

FootyGrounds prediction

Bradford City to win

Model probability 53% · predicted score 2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score58 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Bradford City strength rating 1511 v Barnsley 1483
  • Bradford City home record this season: 2W 0D 1L
  • Barnsley away form: 1W 1D 1L, 3 scored / 4 conceded
  • Superior goal difference: Bradford City +2 v Barnsley -5
  • Bradford City have won 3 of their last 5
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 53% (Elo 51%, goals 54%, recent form 53%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Stockport County v Peterborough United

EFL League One · Sat 26 Sept, 14:00

Data: excellent
Stockport County win
59%
Draw
19%
Peterborough United win
22%

FootyGrounds prediction

Stockport County to win

Model probability 59% · predicted score 2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score54 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Stockport County strength rating 1515 v Peterborough United 1479
  • Stockport County home record this season: 1W 0D 2L
  • Peterborough United away form: 0W 1D 2L, 1 scored / 7 conceded
  • Superior goal difference: Stockport County +6 v Peterborough United -6
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 59% (Elo 53%, goals 66%, recent form 60%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 13 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Plymouth Argyle v Burton Albion

EFL League One · Sat 26 Sept, 14:00

Data: excellent
Plymouth Argyle win
49%
Draw
22%
Burton Albion win
29%

FootyGrounds prediction

Plymouth Argyle to win

Model probability 49% · predicted score 2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score52 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Plymouth Argyle strength rating 1507 v Burton Albion 1502
  • Plymouth Argyle home record this season: 2W 0D 1L
  • Burton Albion away form: 1W 0D 2L, 3 scored / 6 conceded
  • Superior goal difference: Plymouth Argyle +2 v Burton Albion 0
  • Plymouth Argyle have won 3 of their last 5
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 49% (Elo 47%, goals 50%, recent form 52%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Leicester City v Wigan Athletic

EFL League One · Sat 26 Sept, 14:00

Data: excellent
Leicester City win
52%
Draw
21%
Wigan Athletic win
26%

FootyGrounds prediction

Leicester City to win

Model probability 52% · predicted score 2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score44 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Leicester City strength rating 1485 v Wigan Athletic 1472
  • Leicester City home record this season: 1W 0D 2L
  • Superior goal difference: Leicester City -3 v Wigan Athletic -6
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 52% (Elo 49%, goals 49%, recent form 66%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 17 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Mansfield Town v Leyton Orient

EFL League One · Sat 26 Sept, 14:00

Data: excellent
Mansfield Town win
41%
Draw
24%
Leyton Orient win
35%

FootyGrounds prediction

Mansfield Town to win

Model probability 41% · predicted score 2–2 (range 1–1 to 3–3)

FootyGrounds confidence score43 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Mansfield Town strength rating 1491 v Leyton Orient 1504
  • Mansfield Town home record this season: 2W 1D 0L
  • Leyton Orient away form: 2W 1D 0L, 8 scored / 1 conceded
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 41% (Elo 44%, goals 37%, recent form 41%)

Main uncertainty: Leyton Orient have conceded under a goal a game in this venue type. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Stevenage v Sheffield Wednesday

EFL League One · Sat 26 Sept, 14:00

Data: excellent
Stevenage win
40%
Draw
24%
Sheffield Wednesday win
36%

FootyGrounds prediction

Stevenage to win

Model probability 40% · predicted score 2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score35 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Stevenage strength rating 1515 v Sheffield Wednesday 1527
  • Stevenage home record this season: 1W 1D 1L
  • Sheffield Wednesday away form: 3W 0D 0L, 6 scored / 3 conceded
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 40% (Elo 44%, goals 41%, recent form 30%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 14 percentage points on this outcome. Sheffield Wednesday are unbeaten in their last 4 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Notts County v Blackpool

EFL League One · Sat 26 Sept, 14:00

Data: excellent
Notts County win
46%
Draw
23%
Blackpool win
31%

FootyGrounds prediction

Notts County to win

Model probability 46% · predicted score 2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score49 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Notts County strength rating 1505 v Blackpool 1505
  • Blackpool away form: 1W 0D 2L, 4 scored / 6 conceded
  • Notts County unbeaten in their last 5 matches
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 46% (Elo 46%, goals 44%, recent form 50%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Milton Keynes Dons v Bromley

EFL League One · Sat 26 Sept, 14:00

Data: excellent
Milton Keynes Dons win
52%
Draw
22%
Bromley win
26%

FootyGrounds prediction

Milton Keynes Dons to win

Model probability 52% · predicted score 2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score41 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Milton Keynes Dons strength rating 1491 v Bromley 1464
  • Milton Keynes Dons home record this season: 0W 3D 0L
  • Bromley away form: 1W 1D 1L, 5 scored / 9 conceded
  • Superior goal difference: Milton Keynes Dons -2 v Bromley -11
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 52% (Elo 51%, goals 61%, recent form 39%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 21 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Cambridge United v AFC Wimbledon

EFL League One · Sat 26 Sept, 14:00

Data: excellent
Cambridge United win
50%
Draw
23%
AFC Wimbledon win
28%

FootyGrounds prediction

Cambridge United to win

Model probability 50% · predicted score 2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score54 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Cambridge United strength rating 1511 v AFC Wimbledon 1501
  • Cambridge United home record this season: 2W 0D 1L
  • AFC Wimbledon away form: 1W 0D 2L, 3 scored / 7 conceded
  • Superior goal difference: Cambridge United +2 v AFC Wimbledon -2
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 50% (Elo 48%, goals 51%, recent form 50%)

Main uncertainty: AFC Wimbledon are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Wycombe Wanderers v Reading

EFL League One · Sat 26 Sept, 14:00

Data: excellent
Wycombe Wanderers win
39%
Draw
24%
Reading win
37%

FootyGrounds prediction

Wycombe Wanderers to win

Model probability 39% · predicted score 2–2 (range 1–1 to 3–3)

FootyGrounds confidence score38 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Wycombe Wanderers strength rating 1489 v Reading 1510
  • Wycombe Wanderers home record this season: 0W 2D 1L
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 39% (Elo 42%, goals 34%, recent form 40%)

Main uncertainty: Reading are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Huddersfield Town v Luton Town

EFL League One · Sat 26 Sept, 14:00

Data: excellent
Huddersfield Town win
53%
Draw
21%
Luton Town win
26%

FootyGrounds prediction

Huddersfield Town to win

Model probability 53% · predicted score 2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score52 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Huddersfield Town strength rating 1525 v Luton Town 1505
  • Huddersfield Town home record this season: 2W 1D 0L
  • Superior goal difference: Huddersfield Town +6 v Luton Town 0
  • Huddersfield Town unbeaten in their last 5 matches
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 53% (Elo 50%, goals 59%, recent form 51%)

Main uncertainty: Luton Town are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Doncaster Rovers v Oxford United

EFL League One · Sat 26 Sept, 14:00

Data: excellent
Doncaster Rovers win
37%
Draw
24%
Oxford United win
39%

FootyGrounds prediction

Oxford United to win

Model probability 39% · predicted score 2–2 (range 1–1 to 3–3)

FootyGrounds confidence score27 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Oxford United strength rating 1516 v Doncaster Rovers 1488
  • Oxford United away record this season: 2W 0D 1L
  • Doncaster Rovers home form: 0W 2D 1L, 3 scored / 4 conceded
  • Superior goal difference: Oxford United +3 v Doncaster Rovers -2
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 39% (Elo 33%, goals 39%, recent form 54%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 21 percentage points on this outcome. Doncaster Rovers are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Bromley v Wycombe Wanderers

EFL League One · Sat 3 Oct, 14:00

Data: excellent
Bromley win
38%
Draw
24%
Wycombe Wanderers win
38%

FootyGrounds prediction

Bromley to win

Model probability 38% · predicted score 2–2 (range 1–1 to 3–3)

FootyGrounds confidence score38 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Bromley strength rating 1464 v Wycombe Wanderers 1489
  • Bromley home record this season: 0W 1D 2L
  • Wycombe Wanderers away form: 1W 1D 1L, 5 scored / 8 conceded
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 38% (Elo 41%, goals 37%, recent form 33%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Barnsley v Milton Keynes Dons

EFL League One · Sat 3 Oct, 14:00

Data: excellent
Barnsley win
45%
Draw
24%
Milton Keynes Dons win
32%

FootyGrounds prediction

Barnsley to win

Model probability 45% · predicted score 2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score42 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Barnsley strength rating 1483 v Milton Keynes Dons 1491
  • Barnsley home record this season: 1W 0D 2L
  • Milton Keynes Dons away form: 0W 2D 1L, 6 scored / 8 conceded
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 45% (Elo 45%, goals 41%, recent form 52%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 11 percentage points on this outcome. Milton Keynes Dons are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Burton Albion v Huddersfield Town

EFL League One · Sat 3 Oct, 14:00

Data: excellent
Burton Albion win
38%
Draw
26%
Huddersfield Town win
36%

FootyGrounds prediction

Burton Albion to win

Model probability 38% · predicted score 1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score39 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Burton Albion strength rating 1502 v Huddersfield Town 1525
  • Burton Albion home record this season: 1W 2D 0L
  • Huddersfield Town away form: 1W 2D 0L, 3 scored / 2 conceded
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 38% (Elo 42%, goals 35%, recent form 35%)

Main uncertainty: Huddersfield Town are unbeaten in their last 4 matches. Huddersfield Town have conceded under a goal a game in this venue type. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
AFC Wimbledon v Stevenage

EFL League One · Sat 3 Oct, 14:00

Data: excellent
AFC Wimbledon win
41%
Draw
25%
Stevenage win
34%

FootyGrounds prediction

AFC Wimbledon to win

Model probability 41% · predicted score 1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score38 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • AFC Wimbledon strength rating 1501 v Stevenage 1515
  • AFC Wimbledon home record this season: 2W 1D 0L
  • Stevenage away form: 1W 2D 0L, 6 scored / 2 conceded
  • AFC Wimbledon have won 3 of their last 5
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 41% (Elo 43%, goals 35%, recent form 47%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 12 percentage points on this outcome. Stevenage are unbeaten in their last 4 matches. Stevenage have conceded under a goal a game in this venue type.

Full match analysis
Sheffield Wednesday v Cambridge United

EFL League One · Sat 3 Oct, 14:00

Data: excellent
Sheffield Wednesday win
50%
Draw
23%
Cambridge United win
28%

FootyGrounds prediction

Sheffield Wednesday to win

Model probability 50% · predicted score 2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score44 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Sheffield Wednesday strength rating 1527 v Cambridge United 1511
  • Sheffield Wednesday home record this season: 1W 1D 1L
  • Cambridge United away form: 1W 2D 0L, 5 scored / 4 conceded
  • Superior goal difference: Sheffield Wednesday +7 v Cambridge United +2
  • Sheffield Wednesday have won 3 of their last 5
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 50% (Elo 49%, goals 55%, recent form 41%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 14 percentage points on this outcome. Cambridge United are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Reading v Bradford City

EFL League One · Sat 3 Oct, 14:00

Data: excellent
Reading win
45%
Draw
25%
Bradford City win
30%

FootyGrounds prediction

Reading to win

Model probability 45% · predicted score 2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score40 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Reading strength rating 1510 v Bradford City 1511
  • Reading home record this season: 2W 0D 1L
  • Bradford City away form: 2W 0D 1L, 2 scored / 2 conceded
  • Superior goal difference: Reading +5 v Bradford City +2
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 45% (Elo 46%, goals 48%, recent form 35%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 14 percentage points on this outcome. Bradford City have conceded under a goal a game in this venue type. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Leyton Orient v Plymouth Argyle

EFL League One · Sat 3 Oct, 14:00

Data: excellent
Leyton Orient win
43%
Draw
23%
Plymouth Argyle win
34%

FootyGrounds prediction

Leyton Orient to win

Model probability 43% · predicted score 2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score34 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Leyton Orient strength rating 1504 v Plymouth Argyle 1507
  • Leyton Orient home record this season: 0W 0D 3L
  • Plymouth Argyle away form: 1W 1D 1L, 4 scored / 5 conceded
  • Superior goal difference: Leyton Orient +3 v Plymouth Argyle +2
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 43% (Elo 46%, goals 48%, recent form 30%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 19 percentage points on this outcome. Plymouth Argyle are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Wigan Athletic v Mansfield Town

EFL League One · Sat 3 Oct, 14:00

Data: excellent
Wigan Athletic win
43%
Draw
24%
Mansfield Town win
33%

FootyGrounds prediction

Wigan Athletic to win

Model probability 43% · predicted score 2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score42 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Wigan Athletic strength rating 1472 v Mansfield Town 1491
  • Wigan Athletic home record this season: 1W 0D 2L
  • Mansfield Town away form: 0W 0D 3L, 1 scored / 8 conceded
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 43% (Elo 42%, goals 40%, recent form 50%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 10 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis