FootyGrounds — football is more than 90 minutes
Current language: English

Match predictor

18+

Transparent statistical predictions for upcoming football fixtures: win, draw and away probabilities, a FootyGrounds confidence score, data quality and the reasoning behind every forecast.

How the model works · Historical accuracy

Sheffield Wednesday v Blackpool

EFL League One · Sun 1 Nov, 14:00

Data: excellent
Sheffield Wednesday win
58%
Draw
19%
Blackpool win
23%

FootyGrounds prediction

Sheffield Wednesday to win

Model probability 58% · predicted score 2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score60 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Sheffield Wednesday strength rating 1519 v Blackpool 1476
  • Sheffield Wednesday home record this season: 2W 3D 1L
  • Blackpool away form: 1W 0D 4L, 4 scored / 9 conceded
  • Superior goal difference: Sheffield Wednesday +8 v Blackpool -4
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 58% (Elo 54%, goals 61%, recent form 60%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
AFC Wimbledon v Blackpool

EFL League One · Sat 14 Nov, 15:00

Data: excellent
AFC Wimbledon win
43%
Draw
24%
Blackpool win
33%

FootyGrounds prediction

AFC Wimbledon to win

Model probability 43% · predicted score 1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score34 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • AFC Wimbledon strength rating 1470 v Blackpool 1476
  • AFC Wimbledon home record this season: 2W 3D 1L
  • Blackpool away form: 1W 0D 4L, 4 scored / 9 conceded
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 43% (Elo 45%, goals 34%, recent form 54%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 20 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Stevenage v Mansfield Town

EFL League One · Sat 14 Nov, 15:00

Data: excellent
Stevenage win
43%
Draw
26%
Mansfield Town win
31%

FootyGrounds prediction

Stevenage to win

Model probability 43% · predicted score 1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score49 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Stevenage strength rating 1509 v Mansfield Town 1523
  • Stevenage home record this season: 3W 1D 2L
  • Mansfield Town away form: 2W 1D 3L, 10 scored / 11 conceded
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 43% (Elo 43%, goals 44%, recent form 40%)

Main uncertainty: Mansfield Town are unbeaten in their last 4 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Wigan Athletic v Barnsley

EFL League One · Sat 14 Nov, 15:00

Data: excellent
Wigan Athletic win
46%
Draw
24%
Barnsley win
30%

FootyGrounds prediction

Wigan Athletic to win

Model probability 46% · predicted score 1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score34 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Wigan Athletic strength rating 1451 v Barnsley 1461
  • Wigan Athletic home record this season: 2W 0D 3L
  • Barnsley away form: 1W 1D 4L, 6 scored / 11 conceded
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 46% (Elo 44%, goals 38%, recent form 61%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 23 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Milton Keynes Dons v Burton Albion

EFL League One · Sat 14 Nov, 15:00

Data: excellent
Milton Keynes Dons win
46%
Draw
24%
Burton Albion win
30%

FootyGrounds prediction

Milton Keynes Dons to win

Model probability 46% · predicted score 2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score48 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Milton Keynes Dons strength rating 1490 v Burton Albion 1498
  • Milton Keynes Dons home record this season: 2W 3D 1L
  • Burton Albion away form: 2W 1D 3L, 6 scored / 9 conceded
  • Milton Keynes Dons have won 3 of their last 5
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 46% (Elo 45%, goals 44%, recent form 52%)

Main uncertainty: Burton Albion are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Bromley v Notts County

EFL League One · Sat 14 Nov, 15:00

Data: excellent
Bromley win
37%
Draw
27%
Notts County win
37%

FootyGrounds prediction

Bromley to win

Model probability 37% · predicted score 1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score29 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Bromley strength rating 1437 v Notts County 1486
  • Bromley home record this season: 1W 2D 3L
  • Notts County away form: 0W 3D 2L, 4 scored / 8 conceded
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 37% (Elo 36%, goals 30%, recent form 48%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 18 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Stockport County v Reading

EFL League One · Sat 14 Nov, 15:00

Data: excellent
Stockport County win
47%
Draw
23%
Reading win
30%

FootyGrounds prediction

Stockport County to win

Model probability 47% · predicted score 2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score48 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Stockport County strength rating 1536 v Reading 1535
  • Stockport County home record this season: 4W 0D 2L
  • Reading away form: 1W 3D 2L, 8 scored / 6 conceded
  • Stockport County have won 3 of their last 5
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 47% (Elo 46%, goals 44%, recent form 52%)

Main uncertainty: Reading are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Luton Town v Cambridge United

EFL League One · Sat 14 Nov, 15:00

Data: excellent
Luton Town win
45%
Draw
23%
Cambridge United win
31%

FootyGrounds prediction

Luton Town to win

Model probability 45% · predicted score 2–2 (range 1–1 to 3–3)

FootyGrounds confidence score47 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Luton Town strength rating 1511 v Cambridge United 1515
  • Luton Town home record this season: 3W 2D 1L
  • Cambridge United away form: 2W 3D 0L, 8 scored / 6 conceded
  • Luton Town have won 3 of their last 5
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 45% (Elo 46%, goals 46%, recent form 42%)

Main uncertainty: Cambridge United are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Peterborough United v Oxford United

EFL League One · Sat 14 Nov, 15:00

Data: excellent
Peterborough United win
29%
Draw
25%
Oxford United win
45%

FootyGrounds prediction

Oxford United to win

Model probability 45% · predicted score 1–2 (range 0–1 to 2–3)

FootyGrounds confidence score38 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Oxford United strength rating 1536 v Peterborough United 1468
  • Oxford United away record this season: 3W 1D 1L
  • Peterborough United home form: 1W 2D 2L, 5 scored / 7 conceded
  • Superior goal difference: Oxford United +8 v Peterborough United -10
  • Oxford United unbeaten in their last 5 matches
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 45% (Elo 38%, goals 52%, recent form 50%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 14 percentage points on this outcome. Peterborough United are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Doncaster Rovers v Leyton Orient

EFL League One · Sat 14 Nov, 15:00

Data: excellent
Doncaster Rovers win
40%
Draw
26%
Leyton Orient win
34%

FootyGrounds prediction

Doncaster Rovers to win

Model probability 40% · predicted score 1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score35 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Doncaster Rovers strength rating 1485 v Leyton Orient 1507
  • Doncaster Rovers home record this season: 2W 2D 2L
  • Leyton Orient away form: 2W 2D 2L, 9 scored / 4 conceded
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 40% (Elo 42%, goals 33%, recent form 49%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 16 percentage points on this outcome. Leyton Orient have conceded under a goal a game in this venue type. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Leicester City v Bradford City

EFL League One · Sat 14 Nov, 15:00

Data: excellent
Leicester City win
44%
Draw
26%
Bradford City win
30%

FootyGrounds prediction

Leicester City to win

Model probability 44% · predicted score 1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score50 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Leicester City strength rating 1505 v Bradford City 1513
  • Leicester City home record this season: 3W 0D 3L
  • Bradford City away form: 3W 3D 1L, 4 scored / 3 conceded
  • Superior goal difference: Leicester City +4 v Bradford City +2
  • Leicester City have won 3 of their last 5
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 44% (Elo 45%, goals 42%, recent form 46%)

Main uncertainty: Bradford City are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. Bradford City have conceded under a goal a game in this venue type. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Sheffield Wednesday v Plymouth Argyle

EFL League One · Sat 14 Nov, 15:00

Data: excellent
Sheffield Wednesday win
47%
Draw
24%
Plymouth Argyle win
30%

FootyGrounds prediction

Sheffield Wednesday to win

Model probability 47% · predicted score 2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score37 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Sheffield Wednesday strength rating 1519 v Plymouth Argyle 1512
  • Sheffield Wednesday home record this season: 2W 3D 1L
  • Plymouth Argyle away form: 4W 1D 2L, 13 scored / 12 conceded
  • Superior goal difference: Sheffield Wednesday +8 v Plymouth Argyle +2
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 47% (Elo 48%, goals 53%, recent form 33%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 20 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Wycombe Wanderers v Huddersfield Town

EFL League One · Sat 14 Nov, 15:00

Data: excellent
Wycombe Wanderers win
30%
Draw
25%
Huddersfield Town win
46%

FootyGrounds prediction

Huddersfield Town to win

Model probability 46% · predicted score 1–2 (range 0–1 to 2–3)

FootyGrounds confidence score42 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Huddersfield Town strength rating 1566 v Wycombe Wanderers 1490
  • Huddersfield Town away record this season: 4W 2D 1L
  • Wycombe Wanderers home form: 1W 3D 2L, 10 scored / 12 conceded
  • Superior goal difference: Huddersfield Town +16 v Wycombe Wanderers -4
  • Huddersfield Town unbeaten in their last 5 matches
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 46% (Elo 39%, goals 54%, recent form 47%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 14 percentage points on this outcome. Wycombe Wanderers are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Barnsley v Sheffield Wednesday

EFL League One · Fri 20 Nov, 20:00

Data: excellent
Barnsley win
30%
Draw
26%
Sheffield Wednesday win
43%

FootyGrounds prediction

Sheffield Wednesday to win

Model probability 43% · predicted score 1–2 (range 0–1 to 2–3)

FootyGrounds confidence score38 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Sheffield Wednesday strength rating 1519 v Barnsley 1461
  • Sheffield Wednesday away record this season: 3W 1D 2L
  • Barnsley home form: 1W 1D 3L, 5 scored / 10 conceded
  • Superior goal difference: Sheffield Wednesday +8 v Barnsley -10
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 43% (Elo 36%, goals 51%, recent form 47%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 16 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Reading v Bromley

EFL League One · Sat 21 Nov, 12:30

Data: excellent
Reading win
71%
Draw
14%
Bromley win
16%

FootyGrounds prediction

Reading to win

Model probability 71% · predicted score 3–1 (range 2–0 to 4–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score66 / 100 · Moderate
Why?
  • Reading strength rating 1535 v Bromley 1437
  • Reading home record this season: 5W 1D 1L
  • Bromley away form: 1W 1D 4L, 7 scored / 16 conceded
  • Superior goal difference: Reading +12 v Bromley -18
  • Reading have won 3 of their last 5
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 71% (Elo 63%, goals 78%, recent form 74%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 15 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Blackpool v Wigan Athletic

EFL League One · Sat 21 Nov, 12:30

Data: excellent
Blackpool win
56%
Draw
20%
Wigan Athletic win
24%

FootyGrounds prediction

Blackpool to win

Model probability 56% · predicted score 2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score52 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Blackpool strength rating 1476 v Wigan Athletic 1451
  • Blackpool home record this season: 2W 2D 2L
  • Wigan Athletic away form: 0W 1D 6L, 4 scored / 12 conceded
  • Superior goal difference: Blackpool -4 v Wigan Athletic -13
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 56% (Elo 51%, goals 57%, recent form 64%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 13 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Cambridge United v Stockport County

EFL League One · Sat 21 Nov, 15:00

Data: excellent
Cambridge United win
36%
Draw
27%
Stockport County win
37%

FootyGrounds prediction

Stockport County to win

Model probability 37% · predicted score 1–2 (range 0–1 to 2–3)

FootyGrounds confidence score39 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Stockport County strength rating 1536 v Cambridge United 1504
  • Stockport County away record this season: 3W 2D 2L
  • Cambridge United home form: 3W 2D 2L, 12 scored / 11 conceded
  • Superior goal difference: Stockport County +11 v Cambridge United 0
  • Stockport County have won 3 of their last 5
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 37% (Elo 33%, goals 42%, recent form 37%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Burton Albion v Luton Town

EFL League One · Sat 21 Nov, 15:00

Data: excellent
Burton Albion win
40%
Draw
26%
Luton Town win
34%

FootyGrounds prediction

Burton Albion to win

Model probability 40% · predicted score 2–2 (range 1–1 to 3–3)

FootyGrounds confidence score42 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Burton Albion strength rating 1498 v Luton Town 1519
  • Burton Albion home record this season: 2W 4D 1L
  • Luton Town away form: 2W 0D 3L, 12 scored / 13 conceded
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 40% (Elo 42%, goals 40%, recent form 35%)

Main uncertainty: Luton Town are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Oxford United v Wycombe Wanderers

EFL League One · Sat 21 Nov, 15:00

Data: excellent
Oxford United win
56%
Draw
20%
Wycombe Wanderers win
24%

FootyGrounds prediction

Oxford United to win

Model probability 56% · predicted score 2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score54 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Oxford United strength rating 1541 v Wycombe Wanderers 1490
  • Oxford United home record this season: 3W 3D 0L
  • Wycombe Wanderers away form: 2W 3D 1L, 9 scored / 11 conceded
  • Superior goal difference: Oxford United +9 v Wycombe Wanderers -4
  • Oxford United unbeaten in their last 5 matches
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 56% (Elo 56%, goals 62%, recent form 49%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 13 percentage points on this outcome. Wycombe Wanderers are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Notts County v Stevenage

EFL League One · Sat 21 Nov, 15:00

Data: excellent
Notts County win
38%
Draw
28%
Stevenage win
34%

FootyGrounds prediction

Notts County to win

Model probability 38% · predicted score 1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score41 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Notts County strength rating 1486 v Stevenage 1509
  • Notts County home record this season: 2W 2D 2L
  • Stevenage away form: 1W 2D 2L, 6 scored / 5 conceded
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 38% (Elo 42%, goals 35%, recent form 36%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Bradford City v Doncaster Rovers

EFL League One · Sat 21 Nov, 15:00

Data: excellent
Bradford City win
48%
Draw
25%
Doncaster Rovers win
27%

FootyGrounds prediction

Bradford City to win

Model probability 48% · predicted score 1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score50 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Bradford City strength rating 1513 v Doncaster Rovers 1485
  • Bradford City home record this season: 3W 1D 2L
  • Doncaster Rovers away form: 1W 1D 4L, 7 scored / 10 conceded
  • Superior goal difference: Bradford City +2 v Doncaster Rovers -4
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 48% (Elo 51%, goals 46%, recent form 44%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Plymouth Argyle v Peterborough United

EFL League One · Sat 21 Nov, 15:00

Data: excellent
Plymouth Argyle win
57%
Draw
20%
Peterborough United win
23%

FootyGrounds prediction

Plymouth Argyle to win

Model probability 57% · predicted score 2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score61 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Plymouth Argyle strength rating 1512 v Peterborough United 1468
  • Plymouth Argyle home record this season: 3W 1D 3L
  • Peterborough United away form: 1W 2D 4L, 6 scored / 14 conceded
  • Superior goal difference: Plymouth Argyle +2 v Peterborough United -11
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 57% (Elo 54%, goals 60%, recent form 55%)

Main uncertainty: Peterborough United are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Huddersfield Town v Leicester City

EFL League One · Sat 21 Nov, 15:00

Data: excellent
Huddersfield Town win
57%
Draw
20%
Leicester City win
24%

FootyGrounds prediction

Huddersfield Town to win

Model probability 57% · predicted score 2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score58 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Huddersfield Town strength rating 1566 v Leicester City 1505
  • Huddersfield Town home record this season: 4W 2D 0L
  • Leicester City away form: 2W 3D 1L, 11 scored / 7 conceded
  • Superior goal difference: Huddersfield Town +16 v Leicester City +4
  • Huddersfield Town unbeaten in their last 5 matches
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 57% (Elo 57%, goals 60%, recent form 51%)

Main uncertainty: Leicester City are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Leyton Orient v AFC Wimbledon

EFL League One · Sat 21 Nov, 15:00

Data: excellent
Leyton Orient win
58%
Draw
20%
AFC Wimbledon win
22%

FootyGrounds prediction

Leyton Orient to win

Model probability 58% · predicted score 2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score59 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Leyton Orient strength rating 1507 v AFC Wimbledon 1470
  • Leyton Orient home record this season: 3W 0D 4L
  • AFC Wimbledon away form: 1W 1D 4L, 5 scored / 15 conceded
  • Superior goal difference: Leyton Orient +5 v AFC Wimbledon -11
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 58% (Elo 53%, goals 61%, recent form 62%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Mansfield Town v Milton Keynes Dons

EFL League One · Sat 21 Nov, 15:00

Data: excellent
Mansfield Town win
52%
Draw
21%
Milton Keynes Dons win
26%

FootyGrounds prediction

Mansfield Town to win

Model probability 52% · predicted score 2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score61 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Mansfield Town strength rating 1523 v Milton Keynes Dons 1490
  • Mansfield Town home record this season: 3W 2D 0L
  • Milton Keynes Dons away form: 1W 3D 2L, 7 scored / 10 conceded
  • Superior goal difference: Mansfield Town +4 v Milton Keynes Dons -2
  • Mansfield Town unbeaten in their last 5 matches
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 52% (Elo 52%, goals 53%, recent form 52%)

Main uncertainty: Milton Keynes Dons are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis