Wigan Athletic v Barnsley
18+EFL League One · Sat 14 Nov, 15:00
Data: excellent
- Wigan Athletic win
- 46%
- Draw
- 24%
- Barnsley win
- 30%
FootyGrounds prediction
Wigan Athletic to win
Model probability 46%
Predicted scoreline
1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score34 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Wigan Athletic strength rating 1451 v Barnsley 1461
- Wigan Athletic home record this season: 2W 0D 3L
- Barnsley away form: 1W 1D 4L, 6 scored / 11 conceded
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 46% (Elo 44%, goals 38%, recent form 61%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 23 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model44%
- Goals model38%
- Recent-form model61%
Component disagreement: 22.9 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 46% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:05), now 46%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:12. Read the methodology.