Mansfield Town v Milton Keynes Dons
18+EFL League One · Sat 21 Nov, 15:00
Data: excellent
- Mansfield Town win
- 52%
- Draw
- 21%
- Milton Keynes Dons win
- 26%
FootyGrounds prediction
Mansfield Town to win
Model probability 52%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score61 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Mansfield Town strength rating 1523 v Milton Keynes Dons 1490
- Mansfield Town home record this season: 3W 2D 0L
- Milton Keynes Dons away form: 1W 3D 2L, 7 scored / 10 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Mansfield Town +4 v Milton Keynes Dons -2
- Mansfield Town unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 52% (Elo 52%, goals 53%, recent form 52%)
Main uncertainty: Milton Keynes Dons are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model52%
- Goals model53%
- Recent-form model52%
Component disagreement: 0.9 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:12. Read the methodology.