Stockport County v Reading
18+EFL League One · Sat 14 Nov, 15:00
Data: excellent
- Stockport County win
- 47%
- Draw
- 23%
- Reading win
- 30%
FootyGrounds prediction
Stockport County to win
Model probability 47%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score48 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Stockport County strength rating 1536 v Reading 1535
- Stockport County home record this season: 4W 0D 2L
- Reading away form: 1W 3D 2L, 8 scored / 6 conceded
- Stockport County have won 3 of their last 5
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 47% (Elo 46%, goals 44%, recent form 52%)
Main uncertainty: Reading are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model46%
- Goals model44%
- Recent-form model52%
Component disagreement: 8.5 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 47% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:05), now 47%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:12. Read the methodology.