Reading v Bromley
18+EFL League One · Sat 21 Nov, 12:30
Data: excellent
- Reading win
- 71%
- Draw
- 14%
- Bromley win
- 16%
FootyGrounds prediction
Reading to win
Model probability 71%
Predicted scoreline
3–1 (range 2–0 to 4–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score66 / 100 · Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Reading strength rating 1535 v Bromley 1437
- Reading home record this season: 5W 1D 1L
- Bromley away form: 1W 1D 4L, 7 scored / 16 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Reading +12 v Bromley -18
- Reading have won 3 of their last 5
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 71% (Elo 63%, goals 78%, recent form 74%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 15 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model63%
- Goals model78%
- Recent-form model74%
Component disagreement: 15.4 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 71% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:05), now 71%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:12. Read the methodology.