Bromley v Notts County
18+EFL League One · Sat 14 Nov, 15:00
Data: excellent
- Bromley win
- 37%
- Draw
- 27%
- Notts County win
- 37%
FootyGrounds prediction
Bromley to win
Model probability 37%
Predicted scoreline
1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score29 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Bromley strength rating 1437 v Notts County 1486
- Bromley home record this season: 1W 2D 3L
- Notts County away form: 0W 3D 2L, 4 scored / 8 conceded
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 37% (Elo 36%, goals 30%, recent form 48%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 18 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model36%
- Goals model30%
- Recent-form model48%
Component disagreement: 18.0 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 37% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:05), now 37%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:12. Read the methodology.