AFC Wimbledon v Blackpool
18+EFL League One · Sat 14 Nov, 15:00
Data: excellent
- AFC Wimbledon win
- 43%
- Draw
- 24%
- Blackpool win
- 33%
FootyGrounds prediction
AFC Wimbledon to win
Model probability 43%
Predicted scoreline
1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score34 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- AFC Wimbledon strength rating 1470 v Blackpool 1476
- AFC Wimbledon home record this season: 2W 3D 1L
- Blackpool away form: 1W 0D 4L, 4 scored / 9 conceded
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 43% (Elo 45%, goals 34%, recent form 54%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 20 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model45%
- Goals model34%
- Recent-form model54%
Component disagreement: 20.1 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 43% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:05), now 43%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:12. Read the methodology.