Bradford City v Doncaster Rovers
18+EFL League One · Sat 21 Nov, 15:00
Data: excellent
- Bradford City win
- 48%
- Draw
- 25%
- Doncaster Rovers win
- 27%
FootyGrounds prediction
Bradford City to win
Model probability 48%
Predicted scoreline
1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score50 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Bradford City strength rating 1513 v Doncaster Rovers 1485
- Bradford City home record this season: 3W 1D 2L
- Doncaster Rovers away form: 1W 1D 4L, 7 scored / 10 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Bradford City +2 v Doncaster Rovers -4
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 48% (Elo 51%, goals 46%, recent form 44%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model51%
- Goals model46%
- Recent-form model44%
Component disagreement: 7.4 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:12. Read the methodology.