Cambridge United v Stockport County
18+EFL League One · Sat 21 Nov, 15:00
Data: excellent
- Cambridge United win
- 36%
- Draw
- 27%
- Stockport County win
- 37%
FootyGrounds prediction
Stockport County to win
Model probability 37%
Predicted scoreline
1–2 (range 0–1 to 2–3)
FootyGrounds confidence score39 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Stockport County strength rating 1536 v Cambridge United 1504
- Stockport County away record this season: 3W 2D 2L
- Cambridge United home form: 3W 2D 2L, 12 scored / 11 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Stockport County +11 v Cambridge United 0
- Stockport County have won 3 of their last 5
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 37% (Elo 33%, goals 42%, recent form 37%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model33%
- Goals model42%
- Recent-form model37%
Component disagreement: 9.0 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:12. Read the methodology.