Sheffield Wednesday v Plymouth Argyle
18+EFL League One · Sat 14 Nov, 15:00
Data: excellent
- Sheffield Wednesday win
- 47%
- Draw
- 24%
- Plymouth Argyle win
- 30%
FootyGrounds prediction
Sheffield Wednesday to win
Model probability 47%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score37 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Sheffield Wednesday strength rating 1519 v Plymouth Argyle 1512
- Sheffield Wednesday home record this season: 2W 3D 1L
- Plymouth Argyle away form: 4W 1D 2L, 13 scored / 12 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Sheffield Wednesday +8 v Plymouth Argyle +2
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 47% (Elo 48%, goals 53%, recent form 33%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 20 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model48%
- Goals model53%
- Recent-form model33%
Component disagreement: 20.2 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 47% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:05), now 47%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:12. Read the methodology.