Leicester City v Bradford City
18+EFL League One · Sat 14 Nov, 15:00
Data: excellent
- Leicester City win
- 44%
- Draw
- 26%
- Bradford City win
- 30%
FootyGrounds prediction
Leicester City to win
Model probability 44%
Predicted scoreline
1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score50 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Leicester City strength rating 1505 v Bradford City 1513
- Leicester City home record this season: 3W 0D 3L
- Bradford City away form: 3W 3D 1L, 4 scored / 3 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Leicester City +4 v Bradford City +2
- Leicester City have won 3 of their last 5
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 44% (Elo 45%, goals 42%, recent form 46%)
Main uncertainty: Bradford City are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. Bradford City have conceded under a goal a game in this venue type. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model45%
- Goals model42%
- Recent-form model46%
Component disagreement: 3.7 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 40% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:05), now 44%.
- 2 new results added
- Away strength rating down 13 points
- Updated rest days for the away club
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:12. Read the methodology.