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Match predictor

18+

Transparent statistical predictions for upcoming football fixtures: win, draw and away probabilities, a FootyGrounds confidence score, data quality and the reasoning behind every forecast.

How the model works · Historical accuracy

New York City FC v CF Montréal

Major League Soccer · Sat 31 Oct, 18:00

Data: good
New York City FC win
52%
Draw
22%
CF Montréal win
25%

FootyGrounds prediction

New York City FC to win

Model probability 52% · predicted score 2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score41 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • New York City FC strength rating 1620 v CF Montréal 1620
  • Superior goal difference: New York City FC +4 v CF Montréal -21
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 52% (Elo 46%, goals 61%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 14 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
FC Cincinnati v Philadelphia Union

Major League Soccer · Sat 31 Oct, 18:00

Data: good
FC Cincinnati win
43%
Draw
21%
Philadelphia Union win
35%

FootyGrounds prediction

FC Cincinnati to win

Model probability 43% · predicted score 2–2 (range 1–1 to 3–3)

FootyGrounds confidence score38 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • FC Cincinnati strength rating 1620 v Philadelphia Union 1620
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 43% (Elo 46%, goals 39%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Columbus Crew v D.C. United

Major League Soccer · Sat 31 Oct, 18:00

Data: good
Columbus Crew win
48%
Draw
23%
D.C. United win
29%

FootyGrounds prediction

Columbus Crew to win

Model probability 48% · predicted score 2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score45 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Columbus Crew strength rating 1620 v D.C. United 1620
  • Superior goal difference: Columbus Crew -5 v D.C. United -12
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 48% (Elo 46%, goals 50%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Sporting Kansas City v FC Dallas

Major League Soccer · Sat 31 Oct, 19:00

Data: good
Sporting Kansas City win
37%
Draw
22%
FC Dallas win
41%

FootyGrounds prediction

FC Dallas to win

Model probability 41% · predicted score 2–2 (range 1–1 to 3–3)

FootyGrounds confidence score20 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • FC Dallas strength rating 1620 v Sporting Kansas City 1620
  • Superior goal difference: FC Dallas +7 v Sporting Kansas City -33
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 41% (Elo 30%, goals 54%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 24 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
St. Louis City SC v San Diego FC

Major League Soccer · Sat 31 Oct, 19:00

Data: good
St. Louis City SC win
52%
Draw
22%
San Diego FC win
26%

FootyGrounds prediction

St. Louis City SC to win

Model probability 52% · predicted score 2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score41 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • St. Louis City SC strength rating 1620 v San Diego FC 1620
  • Superior goal difference: St. Louis City SC +16 v San Diego FC -3
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 52% (Elo 46%, goals 60%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 13 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
San Jose Earthquakes v Real Salt Lake

Major League Soccer · Sat 31 Oct, 21:00

Data: good
San Jose Earthquakes win
50%
Draw
23%
Real Salt Lake win
27%

FootyGrounds prediction

San Jose Earthquakes to win

Model probability 50% · predicted score 2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score43 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • San Jose Earthquakes strength rating 1620 v Real Salt Lake 1620
  • Superior goal difference: San Jose Earthquakes +10 v Real Salt Lake -5
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 50% (Elo 46%, goals 56%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
LA Galaxy v Austin FC

Major League Soccer · Sat 31 Oct, 21:00

Data: good
LA Galaxy win
47%
Draw
23%
Austin FC win
29%

FootyGrounds prediction

LA Galaxy to win

Model probability 47% · predicted score 2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score46 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • LA Galaxy strength rating 1620 v Austin FC 1620
  • Superior goal difference: LA Galaxy -11 v Austin FC -15
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 47% (Elo 46%, goals 48%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Colorado Rapids v Chicago Fire FC

Major League Soccer · Sun 1 Nov, 01:30

Data: good
Colorado Rapids win
43%
Draw
24%
Chicago Fire FC win
33%

FootyGrounds prediction

Colorado Rapids to win

Model probability 43% · predicted score 1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score38 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Colorado Rapids strength rating 1620 v Chicago Fire FC 1620
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 43% (Elo 46%, goals 39%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Los Angeles FC v Minnesota United FC

Major League Soccer · Sun 1 Nov, 21:30

Data: good
Los Angeles FC win
50%
Draw
23%
Minnesota United FC win
26%

FootyGrounds prediction

Los Angeles FC to win

Model probability 50% · predicted score 2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score38 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Los Angeles FC strength rating 1608 v Minnesota United FC 1620
  • Superior goal difference: Los Angeles FC +13 v Minnesota United FC -9
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 50% (Elo 44%, goals 59%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 15 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Vancouver Whitecaps FC v Seattle Sounders FC

Major League Soccer · Sun 1 Nov, 21:30

Data: good
Vancouver Whitecaps FC win
52%
Draw
23%
Seattle Sounders FC win
25%

FootyGrounds prediction

Vancouver Whitecaps FC to win

Model probability 52% · predicted score 2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score41 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Vancouver Whitecaps FC strength rating 1620 v Seattle Sounders FC 1620
  • Superior goal difference: Vancouver Whitecaps FC +31 v Seattle Sounders FC +3
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 52% (Elo 46%, goals 60%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 14 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Nashville SC v New York Red Bulls

Major League Soccer · Sun 1 Nov, 21:30

Data: good
Nashville SC win
59%
Draw
20%
New York Red Bulls win
21%

FootyGrounds prediction

Nashville SC to win

Model probability 59% · predicted score 3–1 (range 2–0 to 4–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score38 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Nashville SC strength rating 1620 v New York Red Bulls 1620
  • Superior goal difference: Nashville SC +37 v New York Red Bulls -14
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 59% (Elo 46%, goals 76%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 30 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Atlanta United FC v Toronto FC

Major League Soccer · Sun 1 Nov, 21:30

Data: good
Atlanta United FC win
45%
Draw
24%
Toronto FC win
32%

FootyGrounds prediction

Atlanta United FC to win

Model probability 45% · predicted score 2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score42 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Atlanta United FC strength rating 1620 v Toronto FC 1620
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 45% (Elo 46%, goals 43%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
New England Revolution v Inter Miami CF

Major League Soccer · Mon 2 Nov, 00:00

Data: good
New England Revolution win
45%
Draw
22%
Inter Miami CF win
33%

FootyGrounds prediction

New England Revolution to win

Model probability 45% · predicted score 2–2 (range 1–1 to 3–3)

FootyGrounds confidence score43 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • New England Revolution strength rating 1620 v Inter Miami CF 1620
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 45% (Elo 46%, goals 43%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Portland Timbers v Houston Dynamo FC

Major League Soccer · Mon 2 Nov, 02:00

Data: good
Portland Timbers win
45%
Draw
24%
Houston Dynamo FC win
32%

FootyGrounds prediction

Portland Timbers to win

Model probability 45% · predicted score 2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score43 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Portland Timbers strength rating 1620 v Houston Dynamo FC 1620
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 45% (Elo 46%, goals 43%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
New York City FC v Los Angeles FC

Major League Soccer · Thu 5 Nov, 00:30

Data: good
New York City FC win
44%
Draw
24%
Los Angeles FC win
32%

FootyGrounds prediction

New York City FC to win

Model probability 44% · predicted score 1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score35 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • New York City FC strength rating 1620 v Los Angeles FC 1608
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 44% (Elo 48%, goals 38%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 10 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Chicago Fire FC v Columbus Crew

Major League Soccer · Sat 7 Nov, 21:00

Data: good
Chicago Fire FC win
51%
Draw
22%
Columbus Crew win
27%

FootyGrounds prediction

Chicago Fire FC to win

Model probability 51% · predicted score 2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score43 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Chicago Fire FC strength rating 1620 v Columbus Crew 1620
  • Superior goal difference: Chicago Fire FC +11 v Columbus Crew -5
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 51% (Elo 46%, goals 56%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 10 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
FC Cincinnati v Nashville SC

Major League Soccer · Sat 7 Nov, 21:00

Data: good
FC Cincinnati win
35%
Draw
21%
Nashville SC win
44%

FootyGrounds prediction

Nashville SC to win

Model probability 44% · predicted score 1–2 (range 0–1 to 2–3)

FootyGrounds confidence score23 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Nashville SC strength rating 1620 v FC Cincinnati 1620
  • Superior goal difference: Nashville SC +37 v FC Cincinnati -7
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 44% (Elo 30%, goals 61%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 31 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Inter Miami CF v Charlotte FC

Major League Soccer · Sat 7 Nov, 21:00

Data: good
Inter Miami CF win
49%
Draw
22%
Charlotte FC win
29%

FootyGrounds prediction

Inter Miami CF to win

Model probability 49% · predicted score 2–2 (range 1–1 to 3–3)

FootyGrounds confidence score44 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Inter Miami CF strength rating 1620 v Charlotte FC 1620
  • Superior goal difference: Inter Miami CF +18 v Charlotte FC +10
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 49% (Elo 46%, goals 52%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
CF Montréal v Vancouver Whitecaps FC

Major League Soccer · Sat 7 Nov, 21:00

Data: good
CF Montréal win
34%
Draw
22%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC win
44%

FootyGrounds prediction

Vancouver Whitecaps FC to win

Model probability 44% · predicted score 1–2 (range 0–1 to 2–3)

FootyGrounds confidence score23 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Vancouver Whitecaps FC strength rating 1620 v CF Montréal 1620
  • Superior goal difference: Vancouver Whitecaps FC +31 v CF Montréal -21
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 44% (Elo 30%, goals 62%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 31 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Orlando City SC v New England Revolution

Major League Soccer · Sat 7 Nov, 21:00

Data: good
Orlando City SC win
42%
Draw
22%
New England Revolution win
36%

FootyGrounds prediction

Orlando City SC to win

Model probability 42% · predicted score 2–2 (range 1–1 to 3–3)

FootyGrounds confidence score34 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Orlando City SC strength rating 1620 v New England Revolution 1620
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 42% (Elo 46%, goals 36%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Philadelphia Union v Toronto FC

Major League Soccer · Sat 7 Nov, 21:00

Data: good
Philadelphia Union win
53%
Draw
21%
Toronto FC win
26%

FootyGrounds prediction

Philadelphia Union to win

Model probability 53% · predicted score 2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score40 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Philadelphia Union strength rating 1620 v Toronto FC 1620
  • Superior goal difference: Philadelphia Union +11 v Toronto FC -11
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 53% (Elo 46%, goals 61%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 15 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
D.C. United v New York City FC

Major League Soccer · Sat 7 Nov, 21:00

Data: good
D.C. United win
41%
Draw
24%
New York City FC win
34%

FootyGrounds prediction

D.C. United to win

Model probability 41% · predicted score 1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score32 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • D.C. United strength rating 1620 v New York City FC 1620
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 41% (Elo 46%, goals 35%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 11 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
New York Red Bulls v Atlanta United FC

Major League Soccer · Sat 7 Nov, 21:00

Data: good
New York Red Bulls win
47%
Draw
24%
Atlanta United FC win
30%

FootyGrounds prediction

New York Red Bulls to win

Model probability 47% · predicted score 2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score47 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • New York Red Bulls strength rating 1620 v Atlanta United FC 1620
  • Superior goal difference: New York Red Bulls -14 v Atlanta United FC -15
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 47% (Elo 46%, goals 47%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Seattle Sounders FC v Los Angeles FC

Major League Soccer · Sun 8 Nov, 00:00

Data: good
Seattle Sounders FC win
43%
Draw
25%
Los Angeles FC win
32%

FootyGrounds prediction

Seattle Sounders FC to win

Model probability 43% · predicted score 1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score34 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Seattle Sounders FC strength rating 1620 v Los Angeles FC 1608
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 43% (Elo 48%, goals 37%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 11 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Minnesota United FC v San Jose Earthquakes

Major League Soccer · Sun 8 Nov, 00:00

Data: good
Minnesota United FC win
41%
Draw
23%
San Jose Earthquakes win
35%

FootyGrounds prediction

Minnesota United FC to win

Model probability 41% · predicted score 2–2 (range 1–1 to 3–3)

FootyGrounds confidence score33 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Minnesota United FC strength rating 1620 v San Jose Earthquakes 1620
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 41% (Elo 46%, goals 35%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 11 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Austin FC v Portland Timbers

Major League Soccer · Sun 8 Nov, 00:00

Data: good
Austin FC win
43%
Draw
23%
Portland Timbers win
34%

FootyGrounds prediction

Austin FC to win

Model probability 43% · predicted score 2–2 (range 1–1 to 3–3)

FootyGrounds confidence score38 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Austin FC strength rating 1620 v Portland Timbers 1620
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 43% (Elo 46%, goals 39%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Houston Dynamo FC v St. Louis City SC

Major League Soccer · Sun 8 Nov, 00:00

Data: good
Houston Dynamo FC win
42%
Draw
24%
St. Louis City SC win
33%

FootyGrounds prediction

Houston Dynamo FC to win

Model probability 42% · predicted score 1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score35 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Houston Dynamo FC strength rating 1620 v St. Louis City SC 1620
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 42% (Elo 46%, goals 37%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
FC Dallas v Colorado Rapids

Major League Soccer · Sun 8 Nov, 00:00

Data: good
FC Dallas win
48%
Draw
23%
Colorado Rapids win
29%

FootyGrounds prediction

FC Dallas to win

Model probability 48% · predicted score 2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score45 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • FC Dallas strength rating 1620 v Colorado Rapids 1620
  • Superior goal difference: FC Dallas +7 v Colorado Rapids 0
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 48% (Elo 46%, goals 50%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
Real Salt Lake v LA Galaxy

Major League Soccer · Sun 8 Nov, 00:00

Data: good
Real Salt Lake win
48%
Draw
23%
LA Galaxy win
29%

FootyGrounds prediction

Real Salt Lake to win

Model probability 48% · predicted score 2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score46 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • Real Salt Lake strength rating 1620 v LA Galaxy 1620
  • Superior goal difference: Real Salt Lake -5 v LA Galaxy -11
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 48% (Elo 46%, goals 50%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis
San Diego FC v Sporting Kansas City

Major League Soccer · Sun 8 Nov, 00:00

Data: good
San Diego FC win
55%
Draw
21%
Sporting Kansas City win
25%

FootyGrounds prediction

San Diego FC to win

Model probability 55% · predicted score 3–1 (range 2–0 to 4–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score38 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why?
  • San Diego FC strength rating 1620 v Sporting Kansas City 1620
  • Superior goal difference: San Diego FC -3 v Sporting Kansas City -33
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 55% (Elo 46%, goals 66%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 20 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Full match analysis