Real Salt Lake v LA Galaxy
18+Major League Soccer · Sun 8 Nov, 00:00
Data: good
- Real Salt Lake win
- 48%
- Draw
- 23%
- LA Galaxy win
- 29%
FootyGrounds prediction
Real Salt Lake to win
Model probability 48%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score46 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Real Salt Lake strength rating 1620 v LA Galaxy 1620
- Superior goal difference: Real Salt Lake -5 v LA Galaxy -11
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 48% (Elo 46%, goals 50%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model46%
- Goals model50%
Component disagreement: 3.3 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 48% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:04), now 48%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:11. Read the methodology.