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FC Dallas v Colorado Rapids

18+

Major League Soccer · Sun 8 Nov, 00:00

Data: good
FC Dallas win
48%
Draw
23%
Colorado Rapids win
29%

FootyGrounds prediction

FC Dallas to win

Model probability 48%

Predicted scoreline

2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score45 / 100 · Low–Moderate

Why the model predicts this

  • FC Dallas strength rating 1620 v Colorado Rapids 1620
  • Superior goal difference: FC Dallas +7 v Colorado Rapids 0
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 48% (Elo 46%, goals 50%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Model agreement

Model components

  • Elo strength model46%
  • Goals model50%

Component disagreement: 3.9 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.

How this prediction has changed

Previously 48% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:04), now 48%.

Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:11. Read the methodology.