Columbus Crew v D.C. United
18+Major League Soccer · Sat 31 Oct, 18:00
Data: good
- Columbus Crew win
- 48%
- Draw
- 23%
- D.C. United win
- 29%
FootyGrounds prediction
Columbus Crew to win
Model probability 48%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score45 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Columbus Crew strength rating 1620 v D.C. United 1620
- Superior goal difference: Columbus Crew -5 v D.C. United -12
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 48% (Elo 46%, goals 50%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model46%
- Goals model50%
Component disagreement: 4.2 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 48% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:04), now 48%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:11. Read the methodology.