Minnesota United FC v San Jose Earthquakes
18+Major League Soccer · Sun 8 Nov, 00:00
Data: good
- Minnesota United FC win
- 41%
- Draw
- 23%
- San Jose Earthquakes win
- 35%
FootyGrounds prediction
Minnesota United FC to win
Model probability 41%
Predicted scoreline
2–2 (range 1–1 to 3–3)
FootyGrounds confidence score33 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Minnesota United FC strength rating 1620 v San Jose Earthquakes 1620
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 41% (Elo 46%, goals 35%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 11 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model46%
- Goals model35%
Component disagreement: 10.7 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 41% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:04), now 41%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:11. Read the methodology.