Los Angeles FC v Minnesota United FC
18+Major League Soccer · Sun 1 Nov, 21:30
Data: good
- Los Angeles FC win
- 50%
- Draw
- 23%
- Minnesota United FC win
- 26%
FootyGrounds prediction
Los Angeles FC to win
Model probability 50%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score38 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Los Angeles FC strength rating 1608 v Minnesota United FC 1620
- Superior goal difference: Los Angeles FC +13 v Minnesota United FC -9
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 50% (Elo 44%, goals 59%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 15 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model44%
- Goals model59%
Component disagreement: 14.8 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 50% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:04), now 50%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:11. Read the methodology.