Houston Dynamo FC v St. Louis City SC
18+Major League Soccer · Sun 8 Nov, 00:00
Data: good
- Houston Dynamo FC win
- 42%
- Draw
- 24%
- St. Louis City SC win
- 33%
FootyGrounds prediction
Houston Dynamo FC to win
Model probability 42%
Predicted scoreline
1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score35 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Houston Dynamo FC strength rating 1620 v St. Louis City SC 1620
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 42% (Elo 46%, goals 37%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model46%
- Goals model37%
Component disagreement: 8.9 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 42% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:04), now 42%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:11. Read the methodology.