LA Galaxy v Austin FC
18+Major League Soccer · Sat 31 Oct, 21:00
Data: good
- LA Galaxy win
- 47%
- Draw
- 23%
- Austin FC win
- 29%
FootyGrounds prediction
LA Galaxy to win
Model probability 47%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score46 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- LA Galaxy strength rating 1620 v Austin FC 1620
- Superior goal difference: LA Galaxy -11 v Austin FC -15
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 47% (Elo 46%, goals 48%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model46%
- Goals model48%
Component disagreement: 2.3 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 47% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:04), now 47%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:11. Read the methodology.