FC Cincinnati v Nashville SC
18+Major League Soccer · Sat 7 Nov, 21:00
Data: good
- FC Cincinnati win
- 35%
- Draw
- 21%
- Nashville SC win
- 44%
FootyGrounds prediction
Nashville SC to win
Model probability 44%
Predicted scoreline
1–2 (range 0–1 to 2–3)
FootyGrounds confidence score23 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Nashville SC strength rating 1620 v FC Cincinnati 1620
- Superior goal difference: Nashville SC +37 v FC Cincinnati -7
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 44% (Elo 30%, goals 61%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 31 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model30%
- Goals model61%
Component disagreement: 30.7 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 44% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:04), now 44%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:11. Read the methodology.