St. Louis City SC v San Diego FC
18+Major League Soccer · Sat 31 Oct, 19:00
Data: good
- St. Louis City SC win
- 52%
- Draw
- 22%
- San Diego FC win
- 26%
FootyGrounds prediction
St. Louis City SC to win
Model probability 52%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score41 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- St. Louis City SC strength rating 1620 v San Diego FC 1620
- Superior goal difference: St. Louis City SC +16 v San Diego FC -3
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 52% (Elo 46%, goals 60%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 13 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model46%
- Goals model60%
Component disagreement: 13.4 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 52% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:04), now 52%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:11. Read the methodology.