San Diego FC v Sporting Kansas City
18+Major League Soccer · Sun 8 Nov, 00:00
Data: good
- San Diego FC win
- 55%
- Draw
- 21%
- Sporting Kansas City win
- 25%
FootyGrounds prediction
San Diego FC to win
Model probability 55%
Predicted scoreline
3–1 (range 2–0 to 4–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score38 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- San Diego FC strength rating 1620 v Sporting Kansas City 1620
- Superior goal difference: San Diego FC -3 v Sporting Kansas City -33
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 55% (Elo 46%, goals 66%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 20 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model46%
- Goals model66%
Component disagreement: 20.1 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 55% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:04), now 55%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:11. Read the methodology.