Sporting Kansas City v FC Dallas
18+Major League Soccer · Sat 31 Oct, 19:00
Data: good
- Sporting Kansas City win
- 37%
- Draw
- 22%
- FC Dallas win
- 41%
FootyGrounds prediction
FC Dallas to win
Model probability 41%
Predicted scoreline
2–2 (range 1–1 to 3–3)
FootyGrounds confidence score20 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- FC Dallas strength rating 1620 v Sporting Kansas City 1620
- Superior goal difference: FC Dallas +7 v Sporting Kansas City -33
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 41% (Elo 30%, goals 54%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 24 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model30%
- Goals model54%
Component disagreement: 23.9 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 41% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:04), now 41%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:11. Read the methodology.