Nashville SC v New York Red Bulls
18+Major League Soccer · Sun 1 Nov, 21:30
Data: good
- Nashville SC win
- 59%
- Draw
- 20%
- New York Red Bulls win
- 21%
FootyGrounds prediction
Nashville SC to win
Model probability 59%
Predicted scoreline
3–1 (range 2–0 to 4–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score38 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Nashville SC strength rating 1620 v New York Red Bulls 1620
- Superior goal difference: Nashville SC +37 v New York Red Bulls -14
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 59% (Elo 46%, goals 76%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 30 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model46%
- Goals model76%
Component disagreement: 29.5 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 59% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:04), now 59%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:11. Read the methodology.