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Orlando City SC v New England Revolution

18+

Major League Soccer · Sat 7 Nov, 21:00

Data: good
Orlando City SC win
42%
Draw
22%
New England Revolution win
36%

FootyGrounds prediction

Orlando City SC to win

Model probability 42%

Predicted scoreline

2–2 (range 1–1 to 3–3)

FootyGrounds confidence score34 / 100 · Low–Moderate

Why the model predicts this

  • Orlando City SC strength rating 1620 v New England Revolution 1620
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 42% (Elo 46%, goals 36%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Model agreement

Model components

  • Elo strength model46%
  • Goals model36%

Component disagreement: 10.0 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.

How this prediction has changed

Previously 42% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:04), now 42%.

Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:11. Read the methodology.