New York Red Bulls v Atlanta United FC
18+Major League Soccer · Sat 7 Nov, 21:00
Data: good
- New York Red Bulls win
- 47%
- Draw
- 24%
- Atlanta United FC win
- 30%
FootyGrounds prediction
New York Red Bulls to win
Model probability 47%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score47 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- New York Red Bulls strength rating 1620 v Atlanta United FC 1620
- Superior goal difference: New York Red Bulls -14 v Atlanta United FC -15
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 47% (Elo 46%, goals 47%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model46%
- Goals model47%
Component disagreement: 0.8 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 47% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:04), now 47%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:11. Read the methodology.