Match predictor

• Groningen strength rating 1619 v PEC Zwolle 1583
• Groningen home record this season: 1W 1D 1L
• PEC Zwolle away form: 1W 1D 1L, 5 scored / 5 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Groningen -1 v PEC Zwolle -11
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 56% (Elo 53%, goals 63%, recent form 50%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 13 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• ADO Den Haag strength rating 1578 v Cambuur 1582
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 43% (Elo 45%, goals 46%, recent form 32%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 15 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Sparta Rotterdam strength rating 1611 v Heerenveen 1607
• Sparta Rotterdam home record this season: 0W 2D 1L
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 45% (Elo 47%, goals 46%, recent form 37%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Ajax strength rating 1661 v Excelsior 1639
• Ajax home record this season: 1W 1D 1L
• Excelsior away form: 2W 1D 0L, 9 scored / 2 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Ajax +12 v Excelsior +6
• Ajax have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 50% (Elo 50%, goals 56%, recent form 37%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 18 percentage points on this outcome. Excelsior are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. Excelsior have conceded under a goal a game in this venue type.

• Fortuna Sittard strength rating 1614 v Willem II 1574
• Fortuna Sittard away record this season: 2W 1D 0L
• Willem II home form: 0W 1D 2L, 3 scored / 9 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Fortuna Sittard -2 v Willem II -13
• Fortuna Sittard have won 3 of their last 5
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 44% (Elo 34%, goals 46%, recent form 63%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 30 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Feyenoord strength rating 1670 v FC Utrecht 1592
• FC Utrecht away form: 1W 1D 1L, 6 scored / 6 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Feyenoord +13 v FC Utrecht -8
• Feyenoord unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 65% (Elo 60%, goals 78%, recent form 54%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 24 percentage points on this outcome. FC Utrecht are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• FC Twente strength rating 1647 v PSV Eindhoven 1676
• FC Twente home record this season: 3W 0D 0L
• PSV Eindhoven away form: 3W 0D 0L, 11 scored / 3 conceded
• FC Twente unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 39% (Elo 40%, goals 40%, recent form 36%)

Main uncertainty: PSV Eindhoven are unbeaten in their last 4 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• AZ Alkmaar strength rating 1669 v Telstar 1595
• AZ Alkmaar home record this season: 2W 1D 0L
• Telstar away form: 1W 1D 1L, 2 scored / 2 conceded
• Superior goal difference: AZ Alkmaar +11 v Telstar -6
• AZ Alkmaar unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 64% (Elo 59%, goals 70%, recent form 62%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 11 percentage points on this outcome. Telstar have conceded under a goal a game in this venue type. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• NEC strength rating 1614 v Go Ahead Eagles 1628
• NEC home record this season: 0W 1D 2L
• Go Ahead Eagles away form: 0W 2D 1L, 7 scored / 10 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 42% (Elo 44%, goals 45%, recent form 35%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 10 percentage points on this outcome. Go Ahead Eagles are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.