ADO Den Haag v Sparta Rotterdam
18+Eredivisie · Sat 7 Nov, 17:45
Data: excellent
- ADO Den Haag win
- 43%
- Draw
- 24%
- Sparta Rotterdam win
- 33%
FootyGrounds prediction
ADO Den Haag to win
Model probability 43%
Predicted scoreline
2–2 (range 1–1 to 3–3)
FootyGrounds confidence score49 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- ADO Den Haag strength rating 1578 v Sparta Rotterdam 1593
- ADO Den Haag home record this season: 1W 1D 3L
- Sparta Rotterdam away form: 1W 1D 2L, 8 scored / 10 conceded
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 43% (Elo 43%, goals 44%, recent form 42%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model43%
- Goals model44%
- Recent-form model42%
Component disagreement: 2.8 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 43% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:03), now 43%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:09. Read the methodology.