Heerenveen v Feyenoord
18+Eredivisie · Sun 8 Nov, 11:15
Data: excellent
- Heerenveen win
- 33%
- Draw
- 26%
- Feyenoord win
- 41%
FootyGrounds prediction
Feyenoord to win
Model probability 41%
Predicted scoreline
2–2 (range 1–1 to 3–3)
FootyGrounds confidence score40 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Feyenoord strength rating 1693 v Heerenveen 1635
- Feyenoord away record this season: 5W 1D 0L
- Heerenveen home form: 2W 1D 2L, 7 scored / 5 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Feyenoord +21 v Heerenveen +5
- Feyenoord unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 41% (Elo 36%, goals 46%, recent form 46%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 10 percentage points on this outcome. Heerenveen are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model36%
- Goals model46%
- Recent-form model46%
Component disagreement: 10.4 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 41% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:03), now 41%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:09. Read the methodology.