Telstar v FC Utrecht
18+Eredivisie · Sun 1 Nov, 13:30
Data: excellent
- Telstar win
- 41%
- Draw
- 22%
- FC Utrecht win
- 37%
FootyGrounds prediction
Telstar to win
Model probability 41%
Predicted scoreline
2–2 (range 1–1 to 3–3)
FootyGrounds confidence score28 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Telstar strength rating 1581 v FC Utrecht 1598
- Telstar home record this season: 0W 2D 3L
- FC Utrecht away form: 2W 1D 2L, 8 scored / 12 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Telstar -9 v FC Utrecht -10
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 41% (Elo 43%, goals 48%, recent form 24%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 23 percentage points on this outcome. FC Utrecht are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model43%
- Goals model48%
- Recent-form model24%
Component disagreement: 23.5 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 41% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:03), now 41%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:09. Read the methodology.